Lightning vs Bruins Prediction 2/1/26 NHL Picks Today
Boston Bruins (32-20-3) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (34-14-4)
February 1, 2026 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 / Boston Bruins 185; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Sunday in NHL action at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Lightning vs Bruins Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Bruins Pick.
Boston Bruins Betting Preview
The Boston Bruins beat the Predators and Flyers, and they play the Panthers next. The Bruins have won 10 of their last 12 games.
The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.35 goals per game and are scoring on 26.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 30 goals, David Pasternak has 47 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 118 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.09 goals per game and are killing 77.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 104 goals on 1,072 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 59 goals on 561 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Mammoth and Jets, and they play the Sabres next. The Lightning have won 16 of their last 18 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.46 goals per game and are scoring on 21.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 27 goals, Darren Raddysh has 32 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 37 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.48 goals per game and are killing 84.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 69 goals on 866 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 53 goals on 483 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last 10 games following a home win.
- The Bruins have lost eight of their last 10 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games.
- The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games following a win.
- The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last six games when leading after the second period.
Why the Boston Bruins will win
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Bruins have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Bruins have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Bruins have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Bruins’ last 11 games as road underdogs following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Nine of the Lightning’s last 10 home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eleven of the last 14 games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last nine games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in eight of the Lightning’s last nine home games.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last four home games.
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last seven Sunday night games.
Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts
- Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last four games.
- David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances with the Bruins as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Lightning vs Bruins Prediction
You can make a case for either side, as the Lightning and Bruins have played fabulous hockey as of late. The Lightning probably have the edge because they’ve done so for longer and will have the home crowd. Still, the value is with the Bruins, given the big plus money and their current form.
However, I’m looking at the over. We’ve seen endless high-scoring games in these outdoor games. It can be tough to pick up the puck sometimes in these outdoor games, especially under the lights, which can be tricky on the ice. Both offenses are on a tear as it is anyway. I expect a high-scoring game. Some fireworks. Give me the over.