Lightning vs Bruins Prediction 3/8/25 NHL Picks Today

The Boston Bruins and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action from the Amalie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have split the two regular-season meetings so far, with the home team winning each matchup so far, starting with a 4-1 win by the Lightning in Tampa back on January 9^th, 2025, followed by a 6-2 win for the Bruins in Boston five days later on January 14^th, 2025.

Boston Bruins Recap

The Boston Bruins come into this game looking to bounce back after a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Carolina Hurricanes to slip to 28-28-8 on the year. After this game, Boston will head back home for a matchup with the Florida Panthers.

Bruins Lose Three In A Row & 8 Of Last 9

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins in scoring with 78 points including 32 goals and 46 assists while Elias Lindholm has 32 points with 21 assists. Pavel Zacha has 39 points with 12 goals and 27 assists and Morgan Geekie has 35 points with 22 goals and 13 assists. Mason Lohrei also has 28 points with 24 assists. Jeremy Swayman has seen the bulk of the action in goal for Boston going 18-21-6 with a 3.00 GAA and an .896 save percentage while Joonas Korpisalo is 10-7-2 with a 2.82 GAA and an .894 save percentage.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won four of their last seven games as underdogs against the Lightning.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Bruins’ last nine games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four day games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a losing streak.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Pavel Zacha has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in each of the Bruins’ last six Saturday games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Morgan Geekie has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 12 Saturday games.
• Andrew Peeke has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be out to add on to their 6-5 win over Buffalo last time out to sit at 37-21-4 on the year. After this game, Tampa Bay will take on the Hurricanes and Flyers.

Lightning Win 9 Of Last 10

Nikita Kucherov leads the Bolts with 92 points including a team-high 28 goals and 64 assists while Brandon Hagel has 70 points with 30 goals and 40 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 45 points of his own with 25 assists. Brayden Point has 65 points with 32 goals and 33 assists while Victor Hedman has 50 points with 39 assists. Jake Guentzel also has 63 points with 32 goals and 31 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 30-16-3 with a 2.24 GAA and a .922 save percentage while Jonas Johansson has gone 7-5-1 with a 3.15 GAA and an .896 save percentage on the year in goal for Tampa Bay.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The favorites have won each of the Lightning’s last 11 games.
• The Bruins have lost each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games at Amalie Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six day games.
• Oliver Bjorkstrand has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 11 appearances in day games at Amalie Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for multi-assist games (20) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the last 10 day games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Bruins’ last five games at Amalie Arena following a road loss has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone OVER the total goals line.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. I think it speaks volumes to the mindset of the Boston Bruins after trading away Brad Marchand as to the direction that the Bruins are headed and that they’re not planning on making the postseason. The Lightning on the other hand, continue to be in one of those grooves that makes it hard or even impossible to get in front of them when they’re rolling, and when this current Boston team is the alternative, I’m not doing it. This Lightning team is a runaway train right now and I think the Lightning get it done once again.