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Lightning vs Devils Prediction 10/11/25 NHL Picks Today

New Jersey Devils (0-1-0) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (0-1-0)
October 11, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -142 / New Jersey Devils 120; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Jersey Devils and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Devils Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Devils Pick.

New Jersey Devils Betting Preview

The New Jersey Devils lost to the Hurricanes, and they play the Blue Jackets and Panthers next. The Devils have lost 5 of their last 6 regular season games.

The New Jersey Devils are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power play opportunities. Jesper Bratt leads New Jersey with 1 goal, Luke Hughes has 2 assists and Timo Meier has 5 shots on goal. Defensively, the New Jersey Devils are allowing 6 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jacob Markstrom has allowed 5 goals on 32 shots faced.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Senators, and they play the Bruins and Capitals next. The Lightning haven’t lost their first two games since the 2009-10 season. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 66.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 2 goals, Brayden Point has 2 assists, and Maxwell Crozier has 3 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 5 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 4 goals on 33 shots faced.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last seven games against the Devils following a loss.
  • The Devils have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Devils have lost the third period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

Why the New Jersey Devils will win

  • The Devils have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost each of their last six night games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the last nine games between the Devils and Lightning.
  • The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last six night games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Ten of the Lightning’s last 11 home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Devils’ last five road games against the Lightning following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Devils’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Guentzel has scored the last goal in three of the Lightning’s last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last six games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 24 home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

  • Jack Hughes has scored a goal in each of his last five road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Nico Hischier has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances with the Devils as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Jack Hughes has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Luke Hughes ranks T3rd in the league for multi-assist game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (66.67%).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).
  • The New Jersey Devils rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (6.00).
  • The New Jersey Devils rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).

Lightning vs Devils Prediction

The Devils are a playoff caliber team, so getting them at plus money has some value. However, the Lightning haven’t started a season with two losses in a million years, and this is an experienced club that knows the importance to not allow losses to linger. The Lightning did enough to win their season opener, they just have to tighten up defensively. The price isn’t anything crazy. I’ll lay the soft juice with the Lightning, as they avoid two losses to begin the year for nearly two decades.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -142

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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