Toronto Maple Leafs (51-22-11) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (47-31-6)
April 22, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning +100 / Toronto Maple Leafs -120; Over/Under: +6
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet in NHL action from Amalie Arena on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Toronto is a -120 road favorite while Tampa Bay is a +100 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 6 goals.
Matchup History
Toronto’s 7-2 win over Tampa Bay in game two made it three wins in the last four meetings for Toronto in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Toronto is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 conference quarterfinal games. Tampa Bay is 86-41 in their last 127 division games and 42-17 in their last 59 home games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.
Pick
I’m rolling with the Maple Leafs here. Sure, Tampa Bay will likely come out with fire in their bellies after getting their teeth kicked in in game two, and Amalie Arena’s been a tough place for opposing teams to come in and win. However, the Leafs woke up in game two, and I think Toronto sees this as a great spot to take back home ice. Victor Hedman’s banged up if he even plays here, and you could really see defensively in game two how much that absence means. I think it speaks volumes that Toronto is favored on the road here. Give me the Leafs.
