Lightning vs Maple Leafs Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 4/24/23

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Monday in game 4 of the NHL East First Round Playoffs at the Amalie Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 4.67 goals per game and are scoring on 30.8 percent of their power play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 3 goals, Mitchell Marner has 6 assists and William Nylander has 13 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 4 goals per game and are killing 71.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jospeh Woll has given up 1 goal on 5 shots faced, and Ilya Samsonov has allowed 11 goals on 90 shots.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 28.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 2 goals, Corey Perry has 3 assists and Nikita Kucherov has 13 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 4.67 goals per game and are killing 69.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 14 goals on 95 shots faced.

The Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and 6-1 in their last 7 overall. The Lightning are 42-18 in their last 60 home games and 2-6 in their last 8 overall. The over is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 overall. The over is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 overall. The Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The favorite is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are playing the better hockey right now, and they’re a team I’ve backed a ton this season. A win here to take full control of this series wouldn’t be surprising, especially given the form of both teams. With that said, this is still a championship team in the Lightning that’s been here done that, and it’s hard to see them bowing out without a fight. Recent issues or not, the Lightning are still a handful on their home ice. Give me the home team and the cheaper price.