
Lightning vs Penguins Prediction 3/25/25 NHL Picks Today
Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-11) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-5)
March 25, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -270 / Pittsburgh Penguins 220; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning meet on Tuesday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Penguins Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Penguins Pick.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Blue Jackets and lost to the Panthers, and they play the Sabres, Senators, and Blues next. The Penguins have won five of their last seven games.
The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.94 goals per game and are scoring 24.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 32 goals, Sidney Crosby has 53 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 174 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.54 goals per game and are killing 77.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 84 goals on 793 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 103 goals on 966 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Hockey Club and Golden Knights, and they play the Hockey Club, Islanders, and Senators next. The Lighting have lost five of their last eight games and have lost five straight games when allowing three or more goals.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.47 goals per game and are scoring on 25.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 34 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 68 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 203 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 82 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 122 goals on 1,508 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 45 goals on 431 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last eight night games at Amalie Arena.
- The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
- The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last eight night games at Amalie Arena.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Lightning.
- The Lightning have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games.
- The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last six games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.47).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.76%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.54).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 32nd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.35).
Lightning vs Penguins Injury Report
Jonas Johansson is questionable for the Lightning.
Joel Blomqvist, Tommy Novak, and Emil Bemstrom are questionable for the Penguins.
Lightning vs Penguins Prediction
The Penguins are enjoying a strong stretch where they’ve earned points in six of their last seven games, but it’s probably too little too late. The Penguins have underachieved for much of the season, and they have 18 losses on the road.
The Lightning play their best hockey at home, where they’re 24-8-2 on the season, and they’ve won both games against the Penguins this season, outscoring them 8-4 in those games. Even with improved play lately, it’s hard to take the Penguins seriously. The Lightning are great at home. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.