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Lightning vs Rangers Prediction 11/12/25 NHL Picks Today

NY Rangers (8-7-2) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (8-5-2)
November 12, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -155 / NY Rangers 130; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Wednesday in NHL action at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Rangers Pick.

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers beat the Predators, lost to the Islanders, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Rangers have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The New York Rangers are averaging 2.41 goals per game and are scoring 14 percent of their power play opportunities. Taylor Raddysh leads New York with 5 goals, Adam Fox has 10 assists, and Mika Zibanejad has 55 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Rangers are allowing 2.53 goals per game and are killing 80.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Igor Shesterkin has allowed 32 goals on 350 shots faced, while Jonathan Quick has given up 5 goals on 101 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Golden Knights and Capitals, and they play the Panthers next. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 8 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.07 goals per game and are scoring on 18 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Cirelli leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Victor Hedman has 12 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 41 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.73 goals per game and are killing 89.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 29 goals on 303 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 11 goals on 131 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last seven night games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win.
  • The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games at Benchmark International Arena following a win.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last five games between the Rangers and Lightning.
  • The Rangers have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 home games.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games.
  • The Rangers have won the third period in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Lightning’s last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games against opponents on a winning streak.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games as favorites against the Rangers.
  • Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games as favorites.
  • Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Wednesday home appearances.
  • Brandon Hagel has scored the last goal in three of the Lightning’s last four games.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Artemi Panarin has scored at least one goal in each of the Rangers’ last three road games against the Lightning.
  • Alexis Lafreniere has recorded an assist in each of the Rangers’ last four road games.
  • Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.58%).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.73).
  • The New York Rangers rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.41).
  • The New York Rangers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.95%).

Lightning vs Rangers Prediction

The Lightning are playing their best hockey of the season, and it’s hard to step in front of them when they’re in this form. We’ve seen it time and time again over the years. However, the value is with the Rangers and the plus money. The Rangers have been road warriors all season, where they’ve won 7 games, and they’ve won each of their last 4 road games. The Rangers have improved defensively over the last couple of weeks and seem to thrive in these spots. I’ll side with the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Rangers 130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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