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Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction 11/14/26 NHL Picks Today

Detroit Red Wings (7-10) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (13-4)
November 14, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 / Detroit Red Wings 185; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

The Lightning are playing better hockey, and they’re at home where they’re undefeated through eight games. The Lightning have won four straight games against the Red Wings. They’ve outscored them 18-9 during those four wins. The Red Wings just can’t catch a break during this five-game losing streak.

The most recent loss against the Panthers just adds to the misery, as that wasn’t a game they should’ve lost. The Red Wings are going nowhere fast and aren’t a team I’m excited to back. The Lightning should have a field day in this spot. Of course I’ll lay the PL to shave down the price.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Blues and Panthers, and they play the Bruins next. The Red Wings have lost 5 straight games.

The Detroit Red Wings average 2.65 goals per game and are scoring on 20.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. Viktor Arvidsson leads the Red Wings with 8 goals, 7 assists, and 56 shots. Alex DeBrincat has 7 goals, 9 assists, and 69 shots. Lucas Raymond has 7 goals, 12 assists, and 60 shots. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3.10 goals per game and are killing 70.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. John Gibson has given up 41 goals on 297 shots faced. Daniil Tarasov has allowed 15 goals on 185 shots. Michael Postava has allowed 4 goals on 35 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Sabres and Blue Jackets, and they play the Capitals next. The Lightning have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.89 goals per game and are scoring on 21.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads the Lightning with 11 goals, 13 assists, and 51 shots. Brandon Hagel has 13 goals, 11 assists, and 76 shots. Nikita Kucherov has 8 goals, 20 assists, and 58 shots. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 71.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 40 goals on 348 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 13 goals on 129 shots.

Lightning vs Red Wings Injury Report

The Lightning will be without Brayden Point with a lower-body injury.

The Red Wings will be without Dylan Larkin. Albert Johansson is out with an undisclosed issue. Marco Kasper is out with an upper-body injury. Mason Appleton is out with an undisclosed issue. Simon Edvinsson is out with a contract dispute. John Gibson is day-to-day with a lower-body injury.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games.
  • The Red Wings have lost each of their last five games.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games.
  • The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine Saturday games.
  • The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last six games as home favorites following a road win.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

  • The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Red Wings have won each of their last four games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The road team has won the third period in each of the Lightning’s last four games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Red Wings’ last eight night games at Benchmark International Arena following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Lightning’s last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last 11 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 13 of the Lightning’s last 14 night games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last six Saturday games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight home games against the Red Wings.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks T2nd in the league for multi-assist games (7) this season.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Marco Kasper has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with the Red Wings as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • J.T. Compher has recorded an assist in four of the Red Wings’ last five games against the Lightning.
  • Lucas Raymond ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.89).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (71.70%).
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 27th in the league for goals per game this season (2.65).
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (70.49%).

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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