Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction 11/3/26 NHL Picks Today

Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

You can talk yourself into the Red Wings and the big plus money, as they’ve played well enough over the last couple of weeks. The problem is the Red Wings are on the end of a back-to-back and playing a Lightning squad that has yet to lose at home. The Red Wings also still have a scoring issue that I don’t trust against the better teams in the league. I’m not trying to get cute in this spot. I’ll roll with the more trustworthy team in the Lightning, and of course I’ll lay the PL to shave down the juice.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Blues, beat the Panthers, and they play the Golden Knights next. The Red Wings have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Detroit Red Wings average 2.93 goals per game and are scoring on 23.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. Viktor Arvidsson leads Detroit with 8 goals, Lucas Raymond has 10 assists, and Alex DeBrincat has 55 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 2.93 goals per game and are killing 70.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. John Gibson has given up 31 goals on 222 shots faced, and Daniil Tarasov has allowed 8 goals on 110 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Jets, lost to the Predators, and they play the Blackhawks next. The Lightning have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.69 goals per game and are scoring on 15.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 8 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 14 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 38 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.23 goals per game and are killing 77.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 30 goals on 243 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 9 goals on 78 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Red Wings have lost each of their last seven road games following a road win.
• The Lightning have won each of their last six home games.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games following a road win.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five games following a shootout loss.
• The Lightning have won the second period in nine of their last 10 home games when trailing after the first period.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Red Wings’ last five games.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Red Wings have won the third period in five of their last six games as underdogs when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last six games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Red Wings’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Red Wings’ last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Conor Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last three games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded an assist in each of the Lightning’s last four home games.
• Conor Geekie has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances- the longest active streak in the league.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Alex DeBrincat has scored a goal in four of the Red Wings’ last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Moritz Seider has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games.
• Lucas Raymond ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.69).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.22%).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (70.21%).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the most equal-game wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).