Lightning vs Senators Prediction 2/4/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Amalie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Lightning vs Senators Prediction.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Nashville Predators last time out to sit at 29-20-4 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will have a rematch with the Lightning in this same building.

Senators Win 5^th In A Row

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 48 points including 16 goals and 32 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 39 points with a team-high 19 goals and 20 assists. Drake Batherson has 40 points with 14 goals and 26 assists and Claude Giroux has 10 goals and 23 assists while Josh Norris has 27 points with 17 goals and 10 assists. Adam Gaudette also has 20 points with 15 goals this season. Linus Ullmark is 12-7-2 with a 2.38 GAA and a .915 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 6-9-1 with a 2.81 GAA and an .894 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 7-3-1 with a 2.19 GAA and a .921 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 OT loss to the New York Islanders last time out to drop to 27-20-4 on the year. After this game, Tampa Bay will have their rematch with the Senators at home before heading on the road to take on Detroit.

Lightning Looking To Rebound

Nikita Kucherov leads the Bolts with 76 points including a team-high 24 goals and 52 assists while Brandon Hagel has 54 points with 22 goals and 32 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 39 points of his own with 19 assists. Brayden Point has 53 points with 28 goals and 25 assists while Victor Hedman has 40 points with 33 assists. Jake Guentzel also has 51 points with 26 goals and 25 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 21-15-3 with a 2.30 GAA and a .918 save percentage while Jonas Johansson has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.24 GAA and an .892 save percentage on the year in goal for Tampa Bay.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Senators have lost six of their last seven games at Amalie Arena following a road win.
• The home team has won six of the Senators’ last seven games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games following a road win.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine Tuesday home games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four games between teams from the same division has gone UNDER the total goals line.

Lightning vs Senators Prediction

I’m on Ottawa in this one. The Senators are just the team playing better hockey right now and have also had the upper hand on Tampa Bay in the recent meetings between these two. Would probably be more ideal if the Senators weren’t on the back-to-back here, but I like Merilainen as a secondary goaltender for Ottawa and think he’ll be up to the task against Tampa Bay in this game. Give me the Senators in this one at the nice plus price.