
Lightning vs Senators Prediction 2/6/25 NHL Picks Today
Ottawa Senators (29-21-4) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-4)
February 6, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -162 / Ottawa Senators +136; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Senators Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Senators Pick.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators beat the Predators, lost to the Lightning, and they play the Panthers, Canadiens, and Jets next. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.87 goals per game and are scoring 23.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 20 goals, Tim Stutzle has 37 assists and Drake Batherson has 119 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2.69 goals per game and are killing 78.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 54 goals on 639 shots faced, and Anton Forsberg has given up 53 goals on 505 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Senators, lost to the Islanders, and they play the Red Wings, Canadiens, and Kraken next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.46 goals per game and are scoring on 26.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 28 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 52 assists and Brandon Hagel has 153 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 81.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 91 goals on 1,095 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 40 goals on 369 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The home team has won seven of the Senators’ last eight games.
- The Senators have lost four of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 Thursday games.
- The Senators have lost the third period in each of their last seven road games when trailing after the second period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games against the Lightning following a road loss.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Senators have won the second period in each of their last four games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.46).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.32%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.69).
- The Ottawa Senators rank T1st in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (1).
Lightning vs Senators Injury Report
The Tampa Bay Lightning will be without Janis Moser due to a lower-body injury. The Lightning are also without Jonas Johansson, while Nick Paul is questionable.
The Ottawa Senators will be without Nick Cousins, Josh Norris, Noah Gregor, Zack MacEwen, and Jacob Bernard-Docker. Shane Pinto is questionable.
Lightning vs Senators Prediction
The Tampa Bay Lightning are going to get the benefit of the doubt from oddsmakers more times than not, especially at home. The Lightning also just beat the Senators a couple of days ago, 4-3. Still, the Senators are playing too well to turn down plus money, and that effort was competitive. The Senators have won seven of their last 10 games and are making bettors money. The Senators have found their offense lately, scoring three or more goals in five straight games, which is a positive sign. The underdog has also still won six of the last eight games between the Lightning and Senators. I’ll take a shot with the Senators and the favorable price.