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Mammoth vs Golden Knights Prediction 5/1/26 NHL Picks Today

Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17) vs. Utah Mammoth (43-33-6)
May 1, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Utah Mammoth -105 / Vegas Golden Knights -115; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Mammoth vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Friday, May 1st at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL playoff matchup.

Utah Mammoth Betting Preview

The Utah Mammoth are down 2-3 in this series after they lost three of the first five games by scores of 2-4, 3-2, 4-2, 4-5 (OT), and 4-5 (2OT). In game five, Utah took a 4-3 lead in the third period, but they allowed the tying goal with 53 seconds left, before losing in double overtime. The Mammoth recorded 38 shots on goal, won 50.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Utah got goals from Carcone, Crouse, Guenther, and Marino, while Vejmelka stopped 31 out of 36 shots, which was an .861 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, Utah lost to the Blues by a score of 5-3, but did beat the Jets by a score of 5-3 before that. The Mammoth have lost four of their last six games and they finished fourth in the Central standings with 92 points. Utah scored 3.27 goals per game and they allowed 2.93 goals against per game, while also going 20.0% on the power play and 78.1% on the penalty kill this season. Clayton Keller led Utah with 26 goals and 62 assists, while Nick Schmaltz added 33 goals and 41 assists. The projected starting goalie for Utah is Karel Vejmelka, who was 38-20-3 with a 2.75 goals against average and an .897 save percentage this season. 

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are up 3-2 in this series after they won game five by a score of 5-4 in double overtime. Vegas blew a 3-2 lead in the third period, but they rallied to get a huge win in overtime. The Golden Knights recorded 36 shots on goal, won 49.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Dorofeyev (3), Howden, and Theodore, while Hart stopped 34 out of 38 shots, which was an .895 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, Vegas defeated the Kraken by a score of 4-1 and the Jets by a score of 6-2. The Golden Knights have won six of their last eight games and they finished first in the Pacific standings with 95 points. Vegas scored 3.22 goals per game and they allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 24.6% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel led Vegas with 27 goals and 63 assists, while Mitch Marner added 24 goals and 56 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Carter Hart, who was 11-3-3 with a 2.71 goals against average and an .891 save percentage this season.

Why the Utah Mammoth will win

  • The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Mammoth have won three of their last four games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as road favorites.
  • The Mammoth have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Golden Knights have lost the second period in each of their last seven games as road favorites when trailing after the first period.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The Golden Knights have won each of their last five road games following a home win.
  • The Mammoth have lost each of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last five road games following a home win.
  • The Mammoth have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Mammoth have lost the second period in each of their last seven games as underdogs after coming off overtime.

Total Goals Facts

  • Five of the Golden Knights’ last six games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Mammoth’s last 10 home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Mammoth’s last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 16 games.

Utah Mammoth Player Prop Facts

  • Dylan Guenther has scored at least one goal in four of the Mammoth’s last five games as home underdogs.
  • Clayton Keller has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Mammoth’s last eight home games.
  • Clayton Keller is the only player in the league to have recorded a power play point in seven or more consecutive appearances this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Shea Theodore has scored a goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four playoff games as road favorites.
  • Ivan Barbashev has recorded an assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last four road games against Central Division opponents.
  • Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah Mammoth are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • Utah Mammoth are the only team to not play in a game that have gone to shootout this season.
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.47%).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.37%).

Mammoth vs Golden Knights Prediction 

Vegas was down 2-1 in this series, but they have escaped with overtime wins in games four and five, and will look to eliminate the Mammoth here. The Golden Knights were 19-14-8 on the road this year, while the Mammoth were 22-16-3 at home. Utah has played very well in this series and they have scored four goals in three straight games. I expect the Mammoth to come out fast in this game and I think they catch a few more breaks than they did in the last two games. Take Utah to get the win at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mammoth ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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