Mammoth vs Lightning Prediction 10/24/26 NHL Picks Today
Tampa Bay Lightning (7-3) vs. Utah Mammoth (7-4)
October 24, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Utah Mammoth -142 / Tampa Bay Lightning 120; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Utah Mammoth meet Saturday in NHL action at the Delta Center. Here’s a Mammoth vs. Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Mammoth vs Lightning Pick.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Golden Knights, lost to the Avs, and they play the Jets next. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 9 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 13.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 9 assists, and John Carlson has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 22 goals on 189 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 4 goals on 50 shots.
Utah Mammoth Betting Preview
The Utah Mammoth beat the Penguins, lost to the Kraken, and they play the Wild next. The Mammoth have won 5 of their last 8 games.
The Utah Mammoth are averaging 3.73 goals per game and are scoring 38.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Nick Schmaltz leads Utah with 7 goals, Clayton Keller has 10 assists, and Dylan Guenther has 32 shots on goal. Defensively, the Utah Mammoth are allowing 3.27 goals per game and are killing 66.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Karel Vejmelka has allowed 25 goals on 196 shots faced, and Sebastian Cossa has given up 9 goals on 50 shots.
Why the Utah Mammoth will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mammoth have won each of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mammoth have covered the puck line in four of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last seven Saturday games.
- The Mammoth have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs.
- The Mammoth have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 16 games as home favorites.
- The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Lightning’s last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the Mammoth’s last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Mammoth’s last nine Saturday games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six night games.
Utah Mammoth Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Guenther has scored at least one goal in four of the Mammoth’s last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Clayton Keller has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Mammoth’s last 10 games as home favorites.
- Nick Schmaltz ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Goals (5) this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six games against Central Division opponents.
- Brandon Hagel has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 60.0% against the Mammoth (min. 5 faceoffs) – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- Utah Mammoth rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (38.46%).
- Utah Mammoth rank T29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (66.67%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of three teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.51%).
Mammoth vs Lightning Injury Report
The Mammoth will be without Maveric Lamoureux and Michael Carcone. John Marino is day-to-day.
The Lightning will be without Yanni Gourde. Victor Hedman is day-to-day.
Mammoth vs Lightning Prediction
I understand the Mammoth are playing good hockey, and they’re at home with the rest advantage. We’re still getting a hot Lightning team with plus money. The Lightning didn’t look good last night, but they’ve still been one of the hotter teams in the league over the last two weeks. The Lightning have also outscored the Mammoth 14-2 in the last three meetings. Yeah, I’ll gladly grab this price with the Lightning as a value play on Saturday.