Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/3/26 NHL Picks Today
Utah Mammoth (9-6) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (8-6)
November 3, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs 110 / Utah Mammoth -130; Over/Under: 6.5
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Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Prediction
In this Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Mammoth are coming as -130 road favorites. Perhaps the wrong team is favored in this matchup, as the Mammoth have been totally unstable as of late, alternating wins and losses in the last two plus weeks, so they cannot be trusted on the road, especially against a Leafs team that has been in good form lately, with a 5-2 record in its last 7 games. I like the total more than I like the side in this matchup, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, as they are 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games combined. They both average 7.3 goals per game combined this season and both have excellent power plays, while allowing 6.7 goals per game combined, with the Mammoth having the 5th-worst penalty kill in hockey. All of their last four meetings have also gone over, so take the over 6.5 goals in this one.
The Leafs are 3-2 in their five meetings against the Mammoth and have won both of their meetings in Toronto. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
The Maple Leafs have 18 points this season with a 8-6-2 record and a 4-3-1 home record. They are 10-6 ATS and 10-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Canucks and will face the Canadiens and Devils next.
Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.75 goals per game with 28.1 shots on goal per game and are scoring 30.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.25 goals per game on 29.3 shots on goal per game and are killing 91.1% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 167 total penalty minutes this season.
Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 24 points, adding a team-high 11 goals with 46 shots on goal and a team-high 13 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 3-5-2 record, with 3.29 GAA and .885 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 5-1-0 record, with 2.66 GAA and .910 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Kirill Marchenko — IR, est. return Nov 17
- Miles Wood — IR-LT, est. return Nov 7
- Nick Blankenburg — IR, est. return Nov 12
- Marshall Rifai — IR, est. return Nov 8
- John Tavares — IR, est. return Nov 27
Utah Mammoth Preview
The Mammoth have 18 points this season with a 9-6-0 record and a 5-4-0 road record. They are 5-10 ATS and 9-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-6 road loss against the Flyers and will face the Canadiens and Senators next.
Offensively, the Mammoth are averaging 3.60 goals per game with 29.9 shots on goal per game and are scoring 34.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.47 goals per game on 24.5 shots on goal per game and are killing 68.8% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 169 total penalty minutes this season.
Clayton Keller leads the Mammoth with 18 points, adding a team-high 14 assists, while Logan Cooley leads the team in goals with 8 with 23 shots on goal. Karel Vejmelka is the starting goalie for the Mammoth, and he has a 6-5-0 record, with 3.31 GAA and .872 SV%. Sebastian Cossa is the backup goalie and he has a 3-1-0 record, with 3.20 GAA and .857 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Kailer Yamamoto — OUT, est. return Nov 3
- John Marino — IR, est. return Nov 5
- Maveric Lamoureux — IR, est. return Feb 12
Utah Mammoth @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 3, 2026
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Mammoth have lost eight of their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Mammoth have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Mammoth have lost the second period in four of their last five games as favorites.
Why the Utah Mammoth will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost nine of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Mammoth have won five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Mammoth have covered the puck line in each of their last three road games following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Mammoth have won the third period in five of their last six games as road favorites following a road loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Five of the Mammoth’s last six night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games following a road win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in six of the Mammoth’s last seven games.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Jack Roslovic has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances against Central Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
- Teddy Blueger has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 66.7% against the Mammoth (min. 5 faceoffs) – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Utah Mammoth Player Prop Facts
- Logan Cooley has scored at least one goal in each of the Mammoth’s last four games as road favorites.
- Barrett Hayton has recorded at least one assist in each of the Mammoth’s last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Nick Schmaltz ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
- Utah Mammoth rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.60).
- Utah Mammoth rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.47).