Maple Leafs vs Blues Prediction 3/28/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Blues Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

St. Louis Blues Preview

The Blues have 71 points this season with a 30-30-11 record, and are 37-34 ATS and 30-39 in over/under. They have a 17-12-7 home record and a 13-18-4 road record and are sitting 7th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home overtime win over the Sharks, and their previous three games were a 3-0 home win over the Capitals, a 3-1 road win over the Canucks, and a 2-1 road shootout loss to the Flames.

Offensively, the Blues are averaging 2.61 goals per game and are scoring 16.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.13 goals per game and are killing 75.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Robert Thomas leads the Blues with 46 points and 16 goals, adding a team-high 30 assists. Joel Hofer is the starting goalie for the Blues, and he has a 19-11-5 record, with 2.53 GAA and .912 SV%. Jordan Binnington is the backup goalie and he has a 11-19-6 record, with 3.40 GAA and .872 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 75 points this season with a 31-29-13 record, and are 31-42 ATS and 40-28 in over/under. They have a 18-12-8 home record and a 13-17-5 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home win over the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 4-2 road win over the Bruins, a 5-2 road loss to the Senators, and a 4-3 home overtime loss to the Hurricanes.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.12 goals per game and are scoring 19.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.44 goals per game and are killing 82% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 67 points and 25 goals, adding a team-high 42 assists. Joseph Woll is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 15-13-6 record, with 3.16 GAA and .906 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 9-9-3 record, with 3.27 GAA and .894 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ St. Louis Blues Betting Trends: March 28, 2026

Why the St. Louis Blues will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The home team has won five of the Blues’ last six games.
• The Blues have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games at Enterprise Center.
• The Blues have won the first period in each of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Blues have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Maple Leafs and Blues.
• The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 11 of the Blues’ last 12 games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the first period in each of their last four night games at Enterprise Center.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Blues’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Blues’ last 10 night games at Enterprise Center against opponents on a winning streak.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Holloway has scored the last goal in four of the Blues’ last five games as favorites.
• Pavel Buchnevich has scored a goal in four of his last five home appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Robert Thomas has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last three road appearances against Central Division opponents.
• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in six of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against the Blues.
• Jacob Quillan has recorded four hits against the Blues this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The St. Louis Blues rank 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.61).
• The St. Louis Blues rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.39%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.44).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.00%).

Maple Leafs vs Blues Prediction

The Maple Leafs won their previous meeting against the Blues this season by 3-2 at home in overtime and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Maple Leafs vs Blues Prediction, the Blues are coming as -142 home favorites. Both teams have been in good form lately, as they have won their last three and two games respectively, but the Leafs have been significantly weaker on the road. The Blues have been playing elite defense lately, having conceded just two goals in their last three games and allow just 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 games, so I expect them to take care of business at home. Take the Blues on the moneyline.