Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction 3/2/26 NHL Picks Today

The Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Maple Leafs vs. Flyers prediction. This article will include a Maple Leafs vs. Flyers pick.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Rangers and Bruins, and they will play the Mammoth next. The Flyers have split their last 6 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 15.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Travis Konecny leads Philadelphia with 23 goals, Trevor Zegras has 29 assists, and Owen Tippett has 152 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 81 goals on 873 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 83 goals on 587 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Panthers and Senators, and they play the Devils next. The Maple Leafs have lost 9 of their last 12 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring 19.3 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 26 goals, William Nylander has 36 assists, and John Tavares has 146 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.45 goals per game and are killing 83.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 77 goals on 817 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have won 13 of their last 14 games against the Flyers.
• The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flyers have won two of their last three games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Flyers have won the third period in five of their last six games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven home games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances in home games.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances—the equal-longest active streak in the league.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Owen Tippett has recorded an assist in four of the Flyers’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nikita Grebenkin has recorded seven hits against the Maple Leafs this season—most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.45).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.44%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank T28th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.88%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 4th in the league for shots against per game this season (25.7).

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction

You can make a case for the Flyers and the plus money, as they are playing the better hockey right now. The Maple Leafs have been a mess defensively in recent losses. However, the Maple Leafs have owned the Flyers, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings, and that includes an overtime road win a little over a month ago. The Maple Leafs have also been head and shoulders at their best at home. This has been a disappointing season for the Maple Leafs, but they’re not as bad as recent games indicate. The talent is still there. I expect a bounce back and the price isn’t nuts. Give me Toronto on its home ice.