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Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction 11/1/25 NHL Picks Today

Maple Leafs vs Flyers
November 1, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto -125 / Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 13 points this season with a 6-3-1 record, and are 6-4 ATS and 5-5 in over/under. They have a 6-1 home record and a 0-2-1 road record and are sitting 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Predators and will face the Flames, Canadiens and Predators next.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.80 goals per game and are scoring 20.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.40 goals per game and are killing 89.19% of their opponent’s power plays.

Trevor Zegras leads Philadelphia with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, while Sean Couturier follows with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 4-2-0 record, with 1.67 GAA and .939 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1-1 record, with 3.08 GAA and .876 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 11 points this season with a 5-5-1 record, and are 2-9 ATS and 9-2 in over/under. They have a 5-2-1 home record and a 0-3 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-6 road loss to the Blue Jackets and will face the Penguins, Mammoth and Bruins next.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 13.79% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.82 goals per game and are killing 83.33% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads Toronto with 15 points, 3 goals and 12 assists, while John Tavares and Matthew Knies follow with 14 points each. John Tavares has 6 goals and 8 assists, and Matthew Knies has 4 goals and 10 assists. Anthony Stolarz is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 3-4-1 record, with 3.27 GAA and .886 SV%. Cayden Primeau is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1 record, with 4.30 GAA and .838 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: November 1, 2025

 

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The home team has won each of the Flyers’ last six games.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last six games as road favorites.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games.
  • The home team has won the first period in each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Flyers.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Flyers.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Flyers following a road loss.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last six road games against the Flyers.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Flyers’ last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in eight of the Flyers’ last nine games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Dvorak has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last seven home games.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded at least one point in each of his 10 previous appearances at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
  • Matvei Michkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • John Tavares has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank T3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.19%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.79%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.82).

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction

The Leafs won all three meetings against the Flyers last season, winning the only visit in Philadelphia by 3-2. They are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Flyers and over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction, the Leafs are coming as -125 road favorites. The Flyers have been playing good hockey this season and have more points than the Leafs and have been dominating at home with a 6-1 record. On the flip side, the Leafs are winless in their three road games this season have been terrible defensively. The Flyers also have the better goalie and I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take the Philadelphia Flyers on the moneyline for plus money in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Philadelphia Flyers ML

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