Maple Leafs vs Jets Prediction 1/1/26 NHL Picks Today
Winnipeg Jets (15-19-4) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (18-15-6)
January 1, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -148 / Winnipeg Jets 124; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Jets prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 1st at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 18-15-6 this season after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Toronto scored once in the first period, once in the second, and twice in the third in the shutout win. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 33-30, won 55.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Jarnkrok, Knies, McMann, and Roy, while Woll stopped all 33 shots in the shutout victory.
Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Red Wings by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Senators by a score of 7-5 before that. The Maple Leafs have won three of their last four games and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 42 points. Toronto has scored 3.28 goals per game and they have allowed 3.28 goals against per game, while also going 16.0% on the power play and 84.2% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 14 goals and 27 assists, while John Tavares has added 15 goals and 21 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 8-4-1 with a 2.51 goals against average and a .923 save percentage this season.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets are 15-19-4 this year after they lost to Detroit by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Winnipeg cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third period, but couldn’t find the tying goal in the low scoring loss. The Jets out shot Detroit by a total of 24-19, won 48.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg got their lone goal from Stanley, while Hellebuyck stopped 17 out of 19 shots, which was an .895 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Winnipeg lost to the Oilers by a score of 3-1 and the Wild by a score of 4-3. The Jets have lost 10 of their last 11 games and they are currently last in the Central standings with 34 points. Winnipeg has scored 2.86 goals per game and they have allowed 3.05 goals against per game, while also going 19.8% on the power play and 80.0% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Connor has led Winnipeg with 18 goals and 27 assists, while Mark Scheifele has also added 18 goals and 27 assists. The projected starting goalie for Winnipeg is Eric Comrie, who is 6-8-1 with a 3.30 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this year.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The home team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
- The Jets have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Jets have lost the first period in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Jets’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last nine Thursday games.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against Central Division opponents.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five road appearances against the Maple Leafs.
- Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in seven of the Jets’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.16%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.28).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank 28th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.92).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T6th in the league in short handed goals this season (4).
Maple Leafs vs Jets Prediction
Winnipeg comes into this matchup after losing 10 of their last 11 games and they are on a back to back in this one. The Jets are 7-11-2 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 13-5-5 at home. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least four goals in all three wins. The Maple Leafs continue to play strong hockey and should have an easier time scoring on Comrie than Hellebuyck. Take the Leafs at home.