NHL Picks

Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 3/11/23

Edmonton Oilers (36-22-8) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (39-17-8)
March 11, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -140 / Edmonton Oilers +120; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Edmonton Oilers and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Toronto is listed as a -140 home favorite while Edmonton is a +120 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 6.5 goals.


For Edmonton, Ryan Murray is out with a back injury while Toronto’s listed Luke Schenn as out with a personal matter and John Tavares is questionable for this game with an illness. Ryan O’Reilly is out until April with a finger injury as well.

Matchup History

Edmonton’s 5-2 win over Toronto back on March 1st, 2023, snapped Toronto’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.


Edmonton is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall and 10-3 in their last 13 games against the Atlantic division while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. Toronto is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Atlantic division while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following a win.


I’m backing the Leafs here. Sure, the Oilers got the win over the Bruins on Thursday, but the Bruins took their eye off of the ball in that game and Edmonton got pounced on early. This is a revenge spot for the Leafs after getting their butts kicked by Edmonton a few nights ago and at home, I don’t think they waste this opportunity on national television. Give me Toronto here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Toronto -140

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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