Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction 2/3/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Oilers Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, February 3^rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Edmonton Oilers Preview

The Oilers have 64 points this season with a 28-20-8 record, and are 22-34 ATS and 32-23 in over/under. They have a 15-9-4 home record and a 13-11-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 7-3 home loss to the Wild, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home overtime win over the Sharks, a 7-4 home win over the Ducks, and a 6-5 home overtime win over the Capitals.

Offensively, the Oilers are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 31.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.25 goals per game and are killing 78.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 95 points and 34 goals, adding a team-high 61 assists. Tristan Jarry is the starting goalie for the Oilers, and he has a 15-6-2 record, with 3.03 GAA and .895 SV%. Connor Ingram is the backup goalie and he has a 6-3-1 record, with 2.55 GAA and .901 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 61 points this season with a 26-21-9 record, and are 24-32 ATS and 32-22 in over/under. They have a 16-9-6 home record and a 10-12-3 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road win over the Flames, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road shootout win over the Canucks, a 5-2 road loss to the Kraken, and a 7-4 home loss to the Sabres.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.25 goals per game and are scoring 17.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.41 goals per game and are killing 83.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 51 points and 18 goals, adding a team-high 33 assists. Joseph Woll is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 13-7-4 record, with 2.92 GAA and .910 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 6-7-1 record, with 3.67 GAA and .876 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends: February 3, 2026

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Rogers Place following a home loss.
• The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last three games when playing with a rest advantage against Maple Leafs.
• The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last 10 games when leading after the first period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Oilers.
• The Oilers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Oilers’ last six games.
• The Oilers have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Oilers have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against the Oilers following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games as underdogs.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in four of the Oilers’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
• William Nylander has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (31.17%).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.57%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.41).

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Oilers won 6-3 on the road, but the Leafs are 6-2 in their 8 meetings before that.

In this Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction, the Oilers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Oilers have been the better team this season and have been better at home, while the Leafs have been significantly weaker on the road and are also playing their second leg of a road back-to-back. The Oilers are 3-1 in their last 4 games but just 1-5 to the puckline in their last 6, while the Leafs have back-to-back wins, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 11-3-1 to the over in their last 15 games combined and their previous meeting this season had 9 total goals. Their last four meetings between those two teams have also gone over the total, so take the over 6.5 in this one.