Maple Leafs vs Penguins Prediction 11/3/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Penguins prediction for this NHL game on Monday, November 3rd at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 6-5-1 this year after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto trailed 1-0 early in the first period, but they scored the next four goals and added an empty netter to seal the win. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 33-27, won 57.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Cowan, Jarnkrok, Matthews, Robertson, and McCabe, while Stolarz stopped 31 out of 33 shots, which was a .939 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 6-3, but did beat the Flames by a score of 4-3 before that. The Maple Leafs have won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for last in the Atlantic standings with 13 points. Toronto has scored 3.58 goals per game and they have allowed 3.67 goals against per game, while also going 12.5% on the power play and 83.3% on the penalty kill this season. John Tavares has led Toronto with six goals and 10 assists, while Matthew Knies has added four goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Anthony Stolarz, who is 4-4-1 with a 3.13 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this year. 

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 8-3-2 this season after they lost to Winnipeg by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Pittsburgh cut the deficit to 4-2 in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Penguins were out shot by a total of 34-30, won 54.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Crosby and Lizotte, while Silovs stopped 29 out of 33 shots, which was an .879 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Wild by a score of 4-1, but lost to the Flyers by a score of 3-2 before that. The Penguins have alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently tied for first in the Metro standings with 18 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.54 goals per game and they have allowed 2.62 goals against per game, while also going 32.3% on the power play and 82.9% on the penalty kill this season. Evgeni Malkin has led Pittsburgh with three goals and 15 assists, while Sidney Crosby has added nine goals and seven assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry, who is 5-1-0 with a 2.35 goals against average and a .923 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last five games against the Penguins following a road win.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Penguins and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last eight Monday night games at Scotiabank Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Penguins’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six Monday games against Eastern Conference opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Penguins’ last eight games.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs.

Maple Leafs vs Penguins Prediction 

Toronto has been a bit inconsistent to start this season, but they have won three of their last four games and will be at home here. The Maple Leafs are 5-2-1 at home this year, while the Penguins are 5-2-1 on the road. Pittsburgh has done a great job of getting points recently, as they are 3-1-2 in their last six games. The Penguins are only allowing 2.62 goals against per game on defense, but will face a Toronto offense that is finally playing better. This should be a great game, but Toronto is a completely different team at home. Take the Leafs -1.5 here.