Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction 1/21/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Red Wings prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, January 21st at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 24-17-8 this season after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit to 5-3 in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 39-30, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Matthews, Robertson, and Tavares, while Woll stopped 24 out of 29 shots, which was an .828 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Jets by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 6-5 before that. The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 56 points. Toronto has scored 3.37 goals per game and they have allowed 3.33 goals against per game, while also going 17.2% on the power play and 83.1% on the penalty kill this season. John Tavares has led Toronto with 18 goals and 25 assists, while Auston Matthews has added 25 goals and 17 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 11-5-3 with a 2.90 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this season. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 30-16-4 this year after they defeated Ottawa in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Detroit trailed 2-0 in the first, but they blew a 3-2 lead in the second, before escaping with a goal early in overtime. The Red Wings out shot Ottawa by a total of 34-22, won 40.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from DeBrincat, Raymond, van Riemsdyk, and Sandin-Pellikka, while Gibson stopped 19 out of 22 shots, which was an .864 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Detroit defeated the Sharks by a score of 4-2, but lost to the Bruins by a score of 3-0 before that. The Red Wings have won six of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 64 points. Detroit has scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 3.02 goals against per game, while also going 25.2% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 15 goals and 38 assists, while Alex DeBrincat has added 26 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is John Gibson, who is 19-9-1 with a 2.74 goals against average and a .902 save percentage this year. 

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last four games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last seven games against the Maple Leafs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games following a loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• Scott Laughton has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has scored at least one goal in five of the Red Wings’ last six road games against the Maple Leafs.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last six Wednesday games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction 

Detroit rolls into this contest after winning six of their last seven games and they have scored four goals in four of their last five. The Red Wings are 12-8-3 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 16-6-5 at home. Toronto has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed six goals in all three of those losses. The Maple Leafs have been great on home ice, but Detroit is playing at a very high level and we are getting them at a great price. Take the Red Wings here.