Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction 3/15/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Matchup History

The Ottawa Senators have won both meetings with the Maple Leafs this season, first in Toronto by a final score of 3-0 back on November 12^th, 2024, before winning the most recent meeting in Ottawa by a final score of 2-1 on January 25^th, 2025. The win gave the Senators 4 straight head-to-head wins in the Battle of Ontario.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over the Boston Bruins last time out to improve to 35-25-5 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Senators Win 5^th In A Row

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 67 points including 20 goals and 47 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 52 points with a team-high 27 goals and 25 assists. Drake Batherson has 53 points with 18 goals and 35 assists and Claude Giroux has 13 goals and 29 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 45 points with 6 goals and 39 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 17-11-3 with a 2.68 GAA and a .912 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 9-10-1 with a 2.78 GAA and an .896 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last seven road games following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has scored the first goal in three of the Senators’ last four road games.
• Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four road games.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as underdogs.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances.
• Tim Stutzle has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Florida Panthers last time out to sit at 39-23-3 on the year. After this game, Toronto will welcome the Calgary Flames to town.

Maple Leafs Drop Four Of Their Last Five

Mitch Marner has a team-high 80 points with 21 goals and a team-high 59 assists while William Nylander has 67 points with a team-high 36 goals. John Tavares has 56 points with 27 goals and 29 assists and Auston Matthews has 56 points with 23 goals and 33 assists. Matthew Knies has 43 points with 24 goals while Morgan Rielly has 33 points with 7 goals and 26 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 13-7-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.37 GAA and a .920 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA and a .905 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA and an .878 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The favorites have won each of the Senators’ last eight games.
• The Senators have lost each of their last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games as favorites.
• John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• William Nylander ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (36) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• • Each of the Senators’ last seven road games has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games following a loss has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I get the case to be made for Ottawa catching plus money here as they’re on a roll and have owned the recent history with their rival. However, I think Ottawa’s recent run has been catching favorable situations as they’ve been winning games at home where they’ve been far better this season, and winning on the road against a slumping Flyers team and a rock-bottom Sharks team. I can’t imagine practice has been fun for the Leafs as of late, and I think Toronto will snap out of their funk with a win at home here. Give me the Maple Leafs at a reasonable price.