Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction 4/20/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Sunday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction.

Matchup History

The Ottawa Senators swept the season series 3-0, with a 3-0 win in Toronto on November 12^th, 2024, before picking up a 2-1 win in Ottawa on January 25^th, 2025 and a 3^rd win, 4-2, in Toronto on March 15^th, 2025. The wins have pushed Ottawa’s head-to-head win streak to five in this series.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into the playoffs as the first wild card in the Eastern conference, finishing the year 45-30-7 overall.

Senators Making First Playoff Appearance Since 2017

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 79 points including 24 goals and 55 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 55 points with a team-high 29 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 68 points with 26 goals and 42 assists and Claude Giroux has 15 goals and 35 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 57 points with 11 goals and 46 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 25-14-3 with a 2.72 GAA and a .910 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 11-12-3 with a 2.72 GAA and a .901 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as home favorites following an overtime win.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Michael Amadio has scored a goal in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven games as road underdogs.
• Drake Batherson has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last seven games.
• Tim Stutzle has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into the postseason as the Atlantic Division champions after finishing the year with a 52-26-4 on the year.

Maple Leafs Win First Non-Covid Division Title Since 2000

Mitch Marner has a team-high 102 points with 27 goals and a team-high 75 assists while William Nylander has 84 points with a team-high 45 goals. John Tavares has 74 points with 38 goals and 36 assists and Auston Matthews has 78 points with 33 goals and 45 assists. Matthew Knies has 58 points with 29 goals while Morgan Rielly has 41 points with 7 goals and 34 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 21-8-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.14 GAA and a.926 save percentage. Joseph Woll is 27-14-1 with a 2.73 GAA and a.909 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA, and an.878 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Senators have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has covered the puck line in six of the Senators’ last eight games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven home games.
• Max Pacioretty has recorded a point in each of his last seven home appearances against the Senators.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs in this one. Ottawa’s owned the regular season series between these two teams, but this is a must-win spot for the Leafs as far as I’m concerned. The Leafs can ill afford a slow start and an opportunity for the Senators to gain confidence right out of the gate in this series. These two teams don’t like each other, so I’m expecting a physical series, but in the end, I think Toronto draws first blood here. Give me the Maple Leafs.