Maple Leafs vs Stars Prediction 4/13/26 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Maple Leafs vs. Stars Prediction. This article will include a Maple Leafs vs. Stars Pick.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Wild and Rangers and play the Sabres next. The Stars have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 28.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 44 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 54 assists, and Wyatt Johnston has 203 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.68 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 135 goals on 1,348 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 66 goals on 733 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Panthers and Islanders and play the Senators next. The Maple Leafs have lost 9 of their last 12 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 21.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 30 goals, William Nylander has 47 assists, and Auston Matthews has 227 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.58 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 124 goals on 1,220 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Maple Leafs have won 10 of their last 11 Monday games as underdogs.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Stars have lost the third period in four of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 11 games following a home loss.
• The Stars have won each of their last five road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games following a home loss.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Stars have won the second period in each of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight road games against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven home appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Stars.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.58).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.06%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.68).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.51%).

Maple Leafs vs Stars Prediction

The Stars could be sitting players, as they’re already locked into a playoff seed and have little to gain. However, the Maple Leafs threw in the towel weeks ago and are currently getting blitzed defensively. During their five-game losing streak, the Maple Leafs are allowing an average of 6.5 goals. This is a team that has its bags packed and flights booked for vacation already. The Maple Leafs have checked out mentally and it’s showing on the ice. Give me the Stars and I’ll lay the PL to shave down the price.