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Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 4-6-24 Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs (43-23-9) vs. Montreal Canadiens (29-34-12)
April 6, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Montreal Canadiens +170 / Toronto Maple Leafs -200; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens betting prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 6th at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Maple Leafs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Canadiens recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Montreal
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Montreal
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and Montreal

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 43-23-9 this season after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Toronto tied the game at one late in the first period, but they allowed the last three goals for the loss. The Maple Leafs out shot Tampa Bay by a total of 29-25 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Toronto had won their previous three games against Florida, Buffalo, and Washington. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.61 goals per game and they are allowing 3.11 goals against per game, while going 24.4% on the power play and 77.9% on the penalty kill. Auston Matthews has led Toronto with 63 goals, 36 assists, and 328 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 21-6-7 this season with a 3.06 goals against average and an .892 save percentage. 

Canadiens Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 29-34-12 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 7-4 in their last game. Montreal tied the game at two in the second period, but they allowed the next four goals in the loss. The Canadiens were out shot by a total of 35-30 and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Montreal defeated Florida by a score of 5-3 in the game prior to Tampa Bay, but lost to Carolina before that. The Canadiens are scoring 2.73 goals per game and they are allowing 3.37 goals against per game, while going 17.2% on the power play and 76.9% on the penalty kill. Nick Suzuki has led Montreal with 32 goals, 40 assists, and 171 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Montreal is Sam Montembeault, who is 15-14-7 this season with a 3.03 goals against average and a .906 save percentage. 

Montreal Canadiens Team Facts

  • The Canadiens have lost each of their last 10 Saturday games.
  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last 14 night games at Bell Centre following a home loss.
  • The favorites have won the second period in each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Bell Centre.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 24 of their last 25 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The road team has won the third period in 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games following a home loss.

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Betting Prediction

Toronto comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are 22-9-6 on the road, which is one of the best road records in the NHL. The Maple Leafs are trying to hold off Tampa Bay for the third spot in the Atlantic, but they are only up two points at the moment. Montreal is tied for the worst record in the Atlantic, but they have played better over the last couple of weeks. This Montreal team has wins over Florida, Philadelphia, and Colorado in their last five games, but I think Toronto’s offense is going to be too much for them here. Take the Leafs -1.5 in this game. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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