NY Islanders vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 4/11/26 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the New York Islanders meet Saturday in NHL action from UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. New York Islanders prediction.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to build on their 5-1 win over the Florida Panthers last time out to sit at 42-27-10 this season. After this game, the Senators will head on the road for a game against the New Jersey Devils.

Senators Win 3 In A Row

Entering Thursday’s matchup with Florida, Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 82 points coming on a team-high 34 goals and 48 assists while Drake Batherson has 68 points with 31 goals and 37 assists. Shane Pinto has 43 points with 22 goals and 21 assists while Dylan Cozens has 56 points with 27 goals and 29 assists. Claude Giroux has 45 points with 13 goals and 32 assists, Brady Tkachuk has 58 points with 22 goals and 36 assists and Jake Sanderson has 51 points with 13 goals and 38 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 26-12-8 with a 2.82 GAA and an .887 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 8-10-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .860 save percentage as well this season. James Reimer has also gone 6-4-1 with a 2.42 GAA and an .883 save percentage this season.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over Toronto last time out to sit at 43-31-5 this season. After this game, the Islanders will head home for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Islanders Snap Four-Game Slide

Going into Thursday’s game against the Maple Leafs, Mathew Barzal has 70 points with 19 goals and a team-high 51 assists while Bo Horvat has 55 points with 30 goals and 25 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 58 points with 22 goals and 36 assists and Anders Lee has 42 points with 19 goals and 23 assists. Emil Heineman has 30 points with 21 goals and 9 assists and Simon Holmstrom has 41 points with 19 goals and 22 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 28-22-2 with a 2.65 GAA and a .909 save percentage while David Rittich is 14-9-3 with a 2.78 GAA and an .894 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.

Ottawa Senators @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: April 11, 2026

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Senators have lost two of their last three games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 10 games between the Senators and Islanders.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Islanders have won the first period in each of their last five games as home underdogs following a home win.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won nine of their last 10 day games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Islanders have lost 14 of their last 16 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last 11 games between the Senators and Islanders.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have won the second period in eight of their last nine games as road favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Islanders’ last nine home games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last four road games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Senators’ last 13 games following a home win.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of the Islanders’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of the Islanders’ last five games.
• Carson Soucy has recorded two assists against the Senators this season – most against any opponent.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in eight of the Senators’ last nine road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last four games against the Islanders.
• Lars Eller has recorded six shots against the Islanders this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (17.17%).
• The New York Islanders rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.11%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.37).

Ottawa Senators vs. New York Islanders Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Islanders here because they’re on the outside looking in when it comes to the wild card picture, so their backs are closer to the fire, and the Senators in fairness haven’t been as sharp on the road down the stretch, they’ve been far stronger at home. I think this is a spot where the Islanders show up at home so give me New York in this one.