NHL Picks

NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 11-5-24 NHL Picks

Pittsburgh Penguins (5-7-1) vs. NY Islanders (4-6-2)
November 5, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: NY Islanders -130 / Pittsburgh Penguins +110; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, November 5th at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

NY Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders are 4-6-2 this year after they lost to the Rangers by a score of 5-2 in their last game. New York cut the deficit to 2-1 and 3-2 in the second period, but couldn’t find the tying goal. The Islanders were outshot by a total of 40-37, won 57.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. New York got goals from Cizikas and Nelson, while Sorokin stopped 35 out of 39 shots in the game. 


Prior to that loss, the Islanders defeated Buffalo by a score of 4-3 but did lose the three games before that. New York has scored 2.25 goals per game and they have allowed 3.08 goals against per game, while also going 12.5% on the power play and 65.2% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Palmieri has led New York with five goals, four assists, and 34 shots on goal, while Ilya Sorokin is 3-3-1 with a 2.29 goals-against average and a .922 save percentage this year. 

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 5-7-1 this season after they defeated Montreal by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Pittsburgh had their lead cut to 2-1 early in the third period, but they added an empty net goal to pull away with the win. The Penguins were outshot by a total of 26-24, won 57.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Crosby (2) and Lizotte, while Nedeljkovic stopped 25 out of 26 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Penguins defeated Anaheim by a score of 2-1 but did lose the six games before that. Pittsburgh has scored 2.92 goals per game and they have allowed 3.77 goals against per game, while also going 22.2% on the power play and 86.5% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin have led the Penguins with 14 points each, while Alex Nedeljkovic is 2-2-1 with a 2.75 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage. 

Why the Islanders will beat the Penguins

  • The favorites have won each of the Penguins’ last 11 games.
  • The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight road games following a home win.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games following a win.
  • The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last four games as underdogs following a home win.

Why the Penguins will beat the Islanders

  • The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Penguins and Islanders.
  • The Islanders have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last eight games between the Penguins and Islanders.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The Islanders have lost the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Five of the Penguins’ last six road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goal line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Penguins and Islanders have gone OVER the total goal line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last 10 games following a road loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 13 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Brock Nelson has scored a goal in three of the Islanders’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Brock Nelson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Islanders’ last eight Tuesday games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Anthony Duclair has recorded at least one point in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in four of the Penguins’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Penguins’ last eight games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Islanders rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.25).
  • The New York Islanders rank T30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (65.22%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank T29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.77).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (86.49%).

NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 

Pittsburgh has bounced back from a rough two weeks with two wins over Montreal and Anaheim, and their defense looks much improved. The Penguins have allowed 3.77 goals per game this season, but they have only allowed one goal in each of their last two games. New York has lost four of their last five games and they are only scoring 2.25 goals per game so far this year. I know Pittsburgh’s defense has had issues for most of the season, but I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game here. Take the under. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 6.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button