NY Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/5/26 NHL Picks Today
Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-11) vs. NY Rangers (23-29-8)
March 5, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Rangers -135 / Toronto Maple Leafs +114; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Rangers meet Thursday in NHL action from Madison Square Garden. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Rangers prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off their 4-3 loss at the hands of New Jersey last time out to sit at 27-24-11 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against Tampa Bay.
Maple Leafs Lose 5 In A Row
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 57 points on 21 goals and a team-high 36 assists while John Tavares has 51 points with 22 goals and 29 assists and Matthew Knies has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists. Auston Matthews has 52 points with 26 goals and 26 assists and Morgan Rielly has 32 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 35 points with 27 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 7-8-3 with a 3.37 GAA and an .891 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 13-9-4 with a 3.05 GAA and a .907 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Rangers have lost each of their last nine home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 15 games between the Maple Leafs and Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as favorites.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- William Nylander has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
- Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six road games.
New York Rangers Recap
The New York Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-4 OT loss at the hands of Columbus last time out to sit at 23-29-8 this season. After this game, the Rangers will head on the road for a game against the New Jersey Devils.
Rangers Lose 6 Of Last 7
Mika Zibanejad leads the Randers with 53 points coming on 24 goals and 29 assists while Vincent Trocheck has 39 points with 12 goals and 27 assists and J.T. Miller has 38 points with 14 goals and 24 assists. Alexis Lafreniere has 34 points with 13 goals and 21 assists and Adam Fox has 28 points with 24 assists. Will Cuylle also has 29 points with 13 goals and 16 assists. Igor Shesterkin has gone 18-12-6 with a 2.52 GAA and a .911 save percentage while Jonathan Quick is 4-14-2 with a 3.10 GAA and an .890 save percentage in goal for the Rangers so far this season. Spencer Martin is also 1-3 with a 4.13 GAA and an .864 save percentage.
Why the New York Rangers will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Rangers have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against the Maple Leafs.
New York Rangers Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Miller has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six home appearances against the Maple Leafs.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Rangers Prediction
I’m on Toronto here. I know the Leafs have been in poor form as of late and not really worth backing for much of anything. However, the Rangers are clearly tearing it down and are in rebuild mode, and the Leafs need results if they’re going to make any sort of last ditch effort at a playoff spot. The Rangers at home as well have set fire to a ton of money this season and I think the Leafs add to their misery here. Give me Toronto.