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Oilers vs Capitals Prediction 1/21/25 NHL Picks Today

Washington Capitals (31-10-5) vs. Edmonton Oilers (29-14-3)
January 21, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Edmonton Oilers -135 / Washington Capitals 114; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 21st at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 29-14-3 this year after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Edmonton trailed 3-0 after the first period, but they scored twice in the second, before coming up just short in the third. The Oilers were outshot by a total of 27-15, won 42.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got both goals from Draisaitl, while Skinner stopped 24 out of 27 shots in the game. 


Prior to that win, the Oilers defeated the Avalanche by a score of 4-3 and the Wild by a score of 5-3. Edmonton has won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 61 points. Edmonton has scored 3.28 goals per game and they have allowed 2.74 goals against per game, while also averaging 24.6% on the power play and 75.2% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl has led Edmonton with 33 goals, 36 assists, and 145 shots on goal, while Connor McDavid has added 20 goals, 45 assists, and 131 shots on goal, but McDavid is suspended for this game. Stuart Skinner is 18-10-3 with a 2.70 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage this year. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 31-10-5 this season after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Washington had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but they added two goals to pull away for the win. The Capitals outshot Pittsburgh by a total of 32-19, won 54.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Duhaime, Protas, and Chychrun, while Thompson stopped 18 out of 19 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Capitals defeated the Senators by a score of 1-0 and the Ducks by a score of 3-0. Washington has won four games in a row and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 67 points. Washington has scored 3.57 goals per game and they have allowed 2.44 goals against per game, while also going 23.5% on the power play and 84.2% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 12 goals, 34 assists, and 80 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 19 goals, 19 assists, and 80 shots on goal. Logan Thomson is 21-2-3 with a 2.09 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this season. 

Why the Capitals will beat the Oilers

  • The Capitals have won each of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have lost six of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Capitals have won the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Capitals’ last six games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Oilers’ last six home games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last five games following a road loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in eight of the Capitals’ last nine road games against the Oilers.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Oilers’ last eight games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 15 home games.
  • Connor McDavid has scored a goal in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games against the Capitals.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Capitals as underdogs.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored the last goal in three of his last four appearances with the Capitals as underdogs.
  • John Carlson has recorded an assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with the Capitals as underdogs.

Oilers vs Capitals Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup trying to bounce back from a loss, but they will be at home for this game. The Oilers are 15-7-1 at home this year, while the Capitals are 15-6-1 on the road. Washington has won four games in a row and they have allowed a total of two goals in those four games. Washington has been one of the best teams in the NHL so far this season and with Edmonton likely to be without McDavid, I like the Capitals to get the win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Capitals ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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