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Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction 5/10/25 NHL Picks Today

Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10) vs. Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)
May 10, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Edmonton Oilers -130 / Vegas Golden Knights 110; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, May 10th at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the 2nd round of the playoffs.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are up 2-0 in this series after they won game two in overtime by a score of 5-4 on Thursday night. Edmonton trailed 1-0 after the first period, but they led 4-2 early in the third. The Oilers allowed Vegas to tie the game, but they won late in the first overtime on a goal from Draisaitl. Edmonton recorded 37 shots on goal, won 43.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. The Oilers got goals from Draisaitl, Kane, Podkolzin, Nurse, and Walman, while Pickard stopped 28 out of 32 shots in the game. 


Prior to that game, the Oilers won game one against Vegas by a score of 4-2. In the first round, Edmonton trailed the Kings 2-0, but they won four straight to advance to the second round. The Oilers have scored at least four goals in six of their eight playoff games this year. Edmonton has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton in the playoffs with two goals, 12 assists, and 30 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added five goals, eight assists, and 24 shots on goal. Calvin Pickard is 6-0 with a 2.84 goals against average and an .888 save percentage in the postseason. 

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are down 0-2 in the series and they desperately need a win here. In their game two loss, Vegas cut the deficit to 3-2 late in the second and they were able to score twice in the third to force overtime. The Golden Knights had a ton of great chances in overtime and they killed a five minute power play for Edmonton, but couldn’t stop McDavid on a late drive to the net. Vegas recorded 32 shots on goal, won 56.6% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Karlsson, Olofsson (2), and Pietrangelo, while Hill stopped 32 out of 37 shots in the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Golden Knights defeated Minnesota in six games to advance to the second round. Vegas trailed 2-1 in that series, but they won the last three games, allowing just two goals in games five and six. Vegas has scored 3.34 goals per game and they have allowed 2.61 goals against per game, while also going 28.3% on the power play and 75.7% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with one goal, eight assists, and 24 shots on goal, while Mark Stone has added four goals, four assists, and 19 shots on goal. Adin Hill is 4-4 with a 3.16 goals against average and an .874 save percentage this postseason. 

Why the Golden Knights will beat the Oilers

  • The Golden Knights have won each of their last six night games after coming off overtime.
  • The Oilers have lost two of their last three games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Saturday games as favorites.
  • The Golden Knights have won the third period in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents when tied after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Oilers’ last nine games as home favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last nine games between two teams from the Pacific Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last six home games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Brown has scored the last goal in four of the Oilers’ last five games as home favorites.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored a goal in each of the Oilers’ last four games against the Golden Knights.
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last seven home playoff games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Oilers’ last 10 playoff games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Mark Stone has scored at least one goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Noah Hanifin has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last five playoff games.
  • Brayden McNabb ranks 1st in the Western Conference for Plus/Minus (+42) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (32.0).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.24).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.34%).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.61).

David Racey is 6-3 (67%) in the NHL over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup looking to take a commanding 3-0 lead in the series, and they will be on home ice. The Oilers continue to play very well and they have won six games in a row in these playoffs. Vegas had plenty of chances to win game two, but they aren’t getting great goaltending from Hill. I do like how Vegas played in game two and let’s not forget the blown lead in game one, so they are only a few plays away from being up 2-0 themselves. I think Vegas with the plus money is the right move between two evenly matched teams. Take the Golden Knights here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Golden Knights ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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