Oilers vs Penguins Prediction 12/16/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 16^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 36 points this season with a 14-8-9 record, and are 21-10 ATS and 14-12 in over/under. They have a 6-5-5 home record and an 8-3-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-5 home overtime loss to the Mammoth, and their previous three games were a 5-6 home overtime loss against the Sharks, a 2-4 home loss against the Canadiens, and a 3-4 home shootout loss against the Ducks.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 32.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.94 goals per game and are killing 84.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 34 points and 19 goals, while Evgeni Malkin leads the team in assists with 21. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 11-8-4 record, with 2.83 GAA and .891 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 4-4-6 record, with 3.20 GAA and .893 SV%.

Edmonton Oilers Preview

The Oilers have 36 points this season with a 15-12-6 record, and are 13-20 ATS and 18-13 in over/under. They have an 8-3-3 home record and a 7-9-3 road record and are sitting 4th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 1-4 road loss to the Canadiens, and their previous three games were a 6-3 road win against the Maple Leafs, a 4-1 home win against the Red Wings, and a 3-4 home overtime loss against the Sabres.

Offensively, the Oilers are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 30.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.39 goals per game and are killing 79.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 52 points, also leading the team in goals with 18 and assists with 34. Tristan Jarry is the starting goalie for the Oilers, and he has a 10-3-1 record, with 2.69 GAA and .908 SV%. Calvin Pickard is the backup goalie and he has a 3-4-2 record, with 4.06 GAA and .851 SV%.

Edmonton Oilers @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: December 16, 2025

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Oilers’ last five games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Oilers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a road loss.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 14 games as road favorites following a road loss.
• The underdogs have won the first period in seven of the Penguins’ last eight games.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The road team has won eight of the Penguins’ last nine games.
• The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Penguins.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last five home games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Oilers’ last four night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Penguins’ last five home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last eight games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last seven home games.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Penguins as underdogs.
• Anthony Mantha has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against Pacific Division opponents.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Jack Roslovic has scored a goal in each of his last six appearances with the Oilers as favorites.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 12 road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last seven road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (32.14%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank T5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.04%).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.33).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.59%).

Oilers vs Penguins Prediction

The Oilers are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Penguins and 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Pittsburgh. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Oilers vs Penguins Prediction, the Oilers are coming as -141 road favorites. Both teams have exactly 36 points this season and similar home/away splits, but the Penguins have been struggling lately, as they have five consecutive losses, four of them at home. On the flip side, the Oilers are 4-2 in their last 6 games and have been dominating the Penguins in recent years and with their recent addition between the pipes in Tristan Jarry, I expect them to win this one on the road. Take the Oilers on the moneyline in this one.