Oilers vs Penguins Prediction 1/22/26 NHL Picks Today
Pittsburgh Penguins (24-14-11) vs. Edmonton Oilers (25-18-8)
January 22, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Edmonton Oilers -198 / Pittsburgh Penguins 164; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Penguins prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 22nd at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
The Edmonton Oilers are 25-18-8 this season after they lost to New Jersey by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Edmonton tied the game at one in the second period, but they allowed a goal just 1:30 later and couldn’t recover in the loss. The Oilers out shot New Jersey by a total of 23-17, won 61.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got their lone goal from Savoie, while Jarry stopped 15 out of 17 shots, which was an .882 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Edmonton defeated the Blues by a score of 5-0 and the Canucks by a score of 6-0. The Oilers have lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 58 points. Edmonton has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 3.08 goals against per game, while also going 32.6% on the power play and 80.6% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with 30 goals and 55 assists, while Evan Bouchard has added 11 goals and 37 assists. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Tristan Jarry, who is 4-1-1 with a 2.49 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this season for the Oilers.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins are 24-14-11 this year after they defeated Calgary by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Pittsburgh had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored two goals in the third to pull away with the win. The Penguins out shot Calgary by a total of 25-19, won 43.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Chinakhov, Malkin, Novak, and Rust, while Skinner stopped 18 out of 19 shots, which was a .947 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Kraken by a score of 6-3, but lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 4-3 before that. The Penguins have won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 59 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.24 goals per game and they have allowed 2.88 goals against per game, while also going 27.8% on the power play and 83.2% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 26 goals and 30 assists, while Bryan Rust has added 18 goals and 20 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Arturs Silovs, who is 8-6-8 with a 3.05 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year.
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
- The Oilers have won each of their last nine night games at Rogers Place following a home loss.
- The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Oilers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Penguins.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Rogers Place.
- The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last 10 games when leading after the first period.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Oilers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last six games following a road win.
- The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last five night games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Oilers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Penguins’ last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games following a road win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Oilers’ last 10 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Zach Hyman has scored the first goal in three of the Oilers’ last four home games against the Penguins.
- Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in five of his last six home appearances against the Penguins.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded an assist in each of the Oilers’ last seven games as favorites against the Penguins.
- Connor McDavid ranks T1st in the league for Points (85) this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
- Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games.
- Rickard Rakell has scored 17 career goals against the Oilers – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (32.62%).
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (27.82%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.22%).
Oilers vs Penguins Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored at least four goals in all three of those wins. The Penguins are 13-7-4 on the road this year, while the Oilers are 12-7-4 at home. Edmonton has won two of their last three games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four straight. The Oilers are still missing Draisaitl, which is a huge loss, but they have gone under 6.5 goals in four straight games. Take the under once again here.