Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 2-10-24 Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Ottawa Senators on Saturday night at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Toronto has won four of their last five games, while Ottawa is on a two game winning streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Senators prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 26-15-8 this year after they defeated Dallas by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Toronto trailed 2-1 after the first period, but they scored four of the next five goals and were able to get the win. The Maple Leafs recorded 31 shots on goal and went 3-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto lost to the Islanders by a score of 3-2 in the game prior to Dallas, but they did beat Winnipeg (twice) and Seattle before that. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.45 goals per game and they are allowing 3.18 goals against per game, while going 26.6% on the power play and 77.7% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 25 goals, 40 assists, and 207 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 9-4-6 this year with a 3.38 goals against average and a .879 save percentage. 

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 20-25-2 this season after they defeated the Red Wings by a score of 3-2 in overtime. Ottawa led 2-1 in the third period, but Detroit was able to force overtime, before the Senators picked up the win. The Senators recorded 25 shots on goal and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa defeated Nashville by a score of 4-3 in the game prior to Detroit, but they lost to the Rangers and Bruins before that. The Senators are scoring 3.34 goals per game and they are allowing 3.62 goals against per game, while going 15.7% on the power play and 74.3% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 11 goals, 36 assists, and 130 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 12-16-2 this year with a 3.38 goals against average and a .889 save percentage. 

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

• The Senators have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the last 10 games between the Maple Leafs and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The favorites have won the first period in each of the Senators’ last six games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 17 of the Maple Leafs’ last 18 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Brady Tkachuk has scored a goal in three of the Senators’ last four night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Drake Batherson has recorded a point in seven of the Senators’ last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Thomas Chabot has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances with the Senators as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tim Stuetzle has recorded two blocks against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• Jake McCabe has recorded at least one point in each of his last five appearances in night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.40).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in save percentage this season (.881).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.27).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams with two players to record at least 60 points this season (Auston Matthews, William Nylander).

Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Prediction

Ottawa did not play very well in the first half of the season and they are the worst team in the Atlantic Division, but they will be at home here. The Senators are 13-12-2 at home, while Toronto is 14-5-6 on the road. Ottawa has not been good in their defensive end of the ice, allowing 3.62 goals against per game, and they will face a very high scoring Toronto team here. I think Toronto has a pretty big advantage in this game, as they have played two games since the break, while Ottawa has been off since 1/31. Take Toronto on the road here.