Panthers vs Lightning Prediction 11/15/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Panthers vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 15th at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers are 9-7-1 this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Florida trailed 1-0 in the first period, but they answered right away and scored six of the last eight goals for the nice win. The Panthers were out shot by a total of 40-28, won 47.5% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Florida got goals from Luostarinen, Reinhart (2), Rodrigues, Schwindt, and Jones, while Tarasov stopped 37 out of 40 shots, which was a .925 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Florida defeated the Golden Knights by a score of 3-2, but lost to the Sharks by a score of 3-1 before that. The Panthers have won three of their last four games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 19 points. Florida has scored 2.82 goals per game and they have allowed 2.94 goals against per game, while also going 20% on the power play and 78% on the penalty kill this season. Brad Marchand has led Florida with 11 goals and nine assists, while Anton Lundell has added four goals and 10 assists. The projected starting goalie for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 8-4-0 with a 2.68 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-6-2 this year after they lost to the Rangers by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 4-3 in the first period, but allowed one goal in the second and two in the third in the loss. The Lightning out shot New York by a total of 36-21, won 45.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Girgensons, Guentzel, and Sabourin, while Vasilevskiy stopped eight out of 13 shots and Johansson stopped six out of seven. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Capitals by a score of 3-2 and the Golden Knights by a score of 6-3. The Lightning have won two of their last three games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 18 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.06 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 17% on the power play and 88.2% on the penalty kill this season. Jake Guentzel has led TB with seven goals and nine assists, while Nikita Kucherov has added seven goals and seven assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 5-5-2 with a 2.92 goals against average and an .896 save percentage this year. 

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Panthers have won each of their last eight games against the Lightning following a home win.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against the Lightning.
• The Panthers have won the third period in each of their last six home games when leading after the second period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Panthers have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Panthers’ last five games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last 11 games.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last four road games.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four night games at Amerant Bank Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six games between the Lightning and Panthers have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last eight games following a win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last five games.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Sam Reinhart has scored at least one goal in each of the Panthers’ last six home games.
• Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
• Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Saturday night appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs.
• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in six of the Lightning’s last eight games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Panthers.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Florida Panthers rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.82).
• The Florida Panthers rank T4th in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (0.65).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.24%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league for power play goals against this season (6).

Panthers vs Lightning Prediction 

Florida comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they finally snapped their streak of alternating wins and losses with a win last time out. The Panthers are 6-1-1 at home this year, while the Lightning are 4-2-2 on the road. Tampa Bay has won two of their last three games, but they allowed seven goals to the Rangers in their last game. Tampa Bay has gone over 5.5 goals in three of their last five games, while Florida has also gone over 5.5 goals in three of their last five. Take the over here.