Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 5/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers meet Sunday in the NHL playoffs Game 4 at the Amerant Bank Arena. Here’s a Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Panthers vs Maple Leafs Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs look for another win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Maple Leafs have won 19 of their last 25 games. The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in eight of their nine playoff games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.56 goals per game and are scoring 27.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 6 goals, Mitch Marner has 10 assists, and Auston Matthews has 32 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.11 goals per game and are killing 78.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 15 goals on 151 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 11 goals on 84 shots.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers look for another win to even up the series at 2-2. The Panthers have lost 10 of their last 18 games since March 30. The Panthers have won seven of their last nine playoff home games.

The Florida Panthers are averaging 3.88 goals per game and are scoring 25 percent of their power-play opportunities. Sam Bennett leads Florida with 4 goals, Brad Marchand has 6 assists, and Sam Reinhart has 26 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 3.13 goals per game and are killing 86.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 24 goals on 192 shots faced.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Panthers have won 11 of their last 12 night games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against the Maple Leafs at Amerant Bank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games at Amerant Bank Arena after coming off overtime.
• The Panthers have won the second period in seven of their last eight night games at Amerant Bank Arena following a home win.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Panthers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The underdogs have won four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games after coming off overtime.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• The Panthers have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games after coming off overtime.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Carter Verhaeghe has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances in night games at Amerant Bank Arena.
• Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances in night Game 4s of a playoff series.
• Aleksander Barkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (4) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as road underdogs against the Panthers.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight playoff games as underdogs.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Injury Report

The Maple Leafs will continue to be without Jani Hakanpaa. Anthony Stolarz is out with an upper-body issue.

The Panthers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

I’ve been wrong on every game in this series, so instead of picking a side, I’m rolling with the over. The over has hit in all three games of this series and has hit in six of the last nine meetings overall. The first three games are averaging 8.3 goals per game, while six of the last nine games have produced at least six goals. Nothing here to indicate there won’t be fewer fireworks. If forced to pick a side, I’m rolling with the Panthers, as I still think they’re the better team. However, I’m rolling with the over based on the high scoring history between the Maple Leafs and Panthers.