Penguins vs Blackhawks Prediction 12/28/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Blackhawks Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, December 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks Preview

The Blackhawks have 34 points this season with a 14-17-6 record, and are 26-11 ATS and 16-20 in over/under. They have a 7-7-3 home record and a 7-10-3 road record and are sitting 8th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road shootout win over the Stars, and their previous three games were a 1-3 home loss against the Flyers, a 4-6 road loss against the Senators, and a 1-4 road loss against the Canadiens.

Offensively, the Blackhawks are averaging 2.76 goals per game and are scoring 20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.11 goals per game and are killing 84.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Connor Bedard leads the Blackhawks with 44 points and 19 goals, while Arvid Soderblom also leads the team in assists with 25. Spencer Knight is the starting goalie for the Blackhawks, and he has a 10-10-5 record, with 2.55 GAA and .914 SV%. Arvid Soderblom is the backup goalie and he has a 4-7-1 record, with 3.93 GAA and .876 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 39 points this season with a 15-12-9 record, and are 21-15 ATS and 18-14 in over/under. They have a 7-6-5 home record and a 8-6-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-6 road loss to the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home shootout win against the Canadiens, a 0-4 road loss against the Canadiens, and a 0-4 road loss against the Senators.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.03 goals per game and are scoring 29.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.17 goals per game and are killing 81.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 38 points and 20 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 23. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 11-11-4 record, with 2.98 GAA and .885 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 5-5-6 record, with 3.22 GAA and .889 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Chicago Blackhawks Betting Trends: December 28, 2025

Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win

• The Blackhawks have won each of their last four games as underdogs after coming off a shootout.
• The Penguins have lost nine of their last 10 games.
• The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last five road games.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Blackhawks have lost nine of their last 10 night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The favorites have won each of the Penguins’ last six games.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in four of the Penguins’ last five games.
• The Blackhawks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games following a shootout win.
• The favorites have won the first period in each of the Penguins’ last five games.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Blackhawks’ last nine games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last four night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blackhawks’ last eight home games against the Penguins.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last seven games as favorites against the Blackhawks.

Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts

• Connor Bedard has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances in home games.
• Connor Bedard has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Andre Burakovsky has recorded 28 career hits against the Penguins – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Mantha has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Blackhawks.
• Bryan Rust has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games as favorites.
• Sidney Crosby ranks T6th in the league for Power Play Goals (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.50%).
• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.76).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.29%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins have recorded the equal-longest losing streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.

Penguins vs Blackhawks Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and their last four meetings have gone under the total.

In this Penguins vs Blackhawks Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -165 road favorites. The Penguins have more points this season and are facing a Blackhawks team on the second leg of a back-to-back, where they had to travel back home all the way from Dallas and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. The Penguins are well-rested, having five days off but have been struggling as well, as they are 1-9 in their last 10 games, with their defense having fallen apart, allowing 4+ goals in 8 of their last 9 games. I will rather not pick a side and get the over 6 with both defenses on a free fall lately and the Penguins having the third-best power play in the league.