Penguins vs Bruins Prediction 3/3/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Kings Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 3^rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Boston Bruins Preview

The Bruins have 71 points this season with a 33-21-5 record, and are 39-20 ATS and 33-25 in over/under. They have a 22-8-1 home record and a 11-13-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road loss to the Flyers, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home win over the Blue Jackets, a 5-4 road shootout loss to the Panthers, and a 6-5 home shootout loss to the Lightning.

Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.36 goals per game and are scoring 26.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 76.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 72 points and 50 assists, while Morgan Geekie leads the team in goals with 33. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 22-13-3 record, with 2.89 GAA and .903 SV%. Joonas Korpisalo is the backup goalie and he has a 11-8-2 record, with 3.11 GAA and .896 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 75 points this season with a 31-15-13 record, and are 37-22 ATS and 30-28 in over/under. They have a 15-8-7 home record and a 16-7-6 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-0 home win over the Golden Knights, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road shootout loss to the Rangers, a 4-1 home win over the Devils, and a 5-2 road win over the Sabres.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.42 goals per game and are scoring 26.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.80 goals per game and are killing 84.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 59 points and 27 goals, while Evgeni Malkin leads the team in assists with 34. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 19-12-6 record, with 2.76 GAA and .891 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 13-7-8 record, with 2.75 GAA and .902 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Boston Bruins Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won each of their last 10 home games.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games following a home win.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games following a road loss.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games following a home win.
• The Bruins have won the second period in each of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Bruins have lost three of their last four games.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Penguins have won the first period in 10 of their last 11 night games following a win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last six road games against the Bruins following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Bruins’ last five games against the Penguins following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last six games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Geekie has scored at least one goal in four of the Bruins’ last five games as favorites.
• Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last eight games as home favorites.
• Morgan Geekie ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (24.4%) this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Yegor Chinakhov has scored a goal in six of the Penguins’ last seven night games.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Penguins’ last nine night games.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Bruins rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.01%).
• The Boston Bruins rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.64%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.30%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.75%).

Penguins vs Bruins Prediction

The Bruins won their previous meeting against the Penguins this season by 1-0 at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings.

In this Penguins vs Bruins Prediction, the Bruins are coming as -120 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season as they both currently sit on the top-8 of the Eastern Conference, but the Bruins are 1-3 in their last 4 games but they are also one of the best home teams in the entire league. On the flip side, the Penguins have been red-hot with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are a perfect 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games combined and their previous meeting this season had just one total goal. Take the under 6.5 in this one.