Penguins vs Flames Prediction 1/21/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Flames Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, January 21^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 47 points this season with a 21-23-5 record, and are 27-22 ATS and 26-22 in over/under. They have a 13-7-3 home record and a 8-16-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Devils, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home win over the Islanders, a 3-1 road win over the Blackhawks, and a 5-3 road loss to the Blue Jackets.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.55 goals per game and are scoring 14.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 83.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nazem Kadri leads the Flames with 34 points and 25 assists, while Matt Coronato leads the team in goals with 13. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 15-19-2 record, with 2.98 GAA and .900 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 6-4-3 record, with 2.18 GAA and .922 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 57 points this season with a 23-14-11 record, and are 28-19 ATS and 24-23 in over/under. They have a 11-7-7 home record and a 12-7-4 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 6-3 road win over the Kraken, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home shootout loss to the Blue Jackets, a 6-3 home win over the Flyers, and a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Lightning.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.23 goals per game and are scoring 28% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 83.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 55 points and 26 goals, while Sidney Crosby leads the team in assists with 29. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 16-12-4 record, with 2.73 GAA and .893 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-8 record, with 3.05 GAA and .892 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Calgary Flames Betting Trends: January 21, 2026

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Penguins have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Penguins and Flames.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
• The Flames have won the third period in each of their last five night games against Metropolitan Division opponents at Scotiabank Saddledome when leading after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Flames have lost six of their last seven night games.
• The Penguins have won four of their last five road games.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against the Flames.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last four night games following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Flames’ last 10 games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Penguins’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last seven games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Flames’ last five games as home underdogs.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Connor Zary has recorded at least one assist in three of the Flames’ last four games.
• Nazem Kadri has scored at least one goal in each of the Flames’ last three home games against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in three of the Penguins’ last four road games.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in five of the Penguins’ last six road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (14.94%).
• The Calgary Flames rank T30th in the league for goals per game this season (2.55).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.03%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.10%).

Penguins vs Flames Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Flames won 2-1 on the road and are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Penguins.

In this Penguins vs Flames Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -116 road favorites. The Penguins have been the better team this season but are facing a Flames team that has been playing its best hockey at home ice but is just 1-3 in its last 4 home games. The Penguins are 2-4 in their last 6 games, so I trust neither team in this matchup. The Penguins last three games have gone over the total and have a nasty power play, while the Flames have scored 3+ goals in three of their last four games, so I expect a high-scoring affair today. Take the over 6.