Penguins vs Flyers Prediction 3/7/26 NHL Picks Today

The Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Penguins vs. Flyers prediction. This article will include a Penguins vs. Flyers prediction pick.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Maple Leafs, lost to the Mammoth, and will play the Rangers next. The Flyers have split their last 8 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 2.8 goals per game and are scoring 15.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Travis Konecny leads Philadelphia with 23 goals, Trevor Zegras has 29 assists, and Owen Tippett has 156 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 3.08 goals per game and are killing 79.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 85 goals on 926 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 83 goals on 587 shots.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Bruins and Sabres, and they play the Bruins next. The Penguins have won 9 of their last 14 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.34 goals per game and are scoring 25.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 27 goals, Evgeni Malkin has 34 assists, and Bryan Rust has 138 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 2.82 goals per game and are killing 84.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 79 goals on 778 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last nine home games against the Flyers following a loss.
• The Flyers have lost eight of their last nine games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in eight of their last 10 night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last eight home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight Saturday games as favorites.
• The Flyers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine Saturday games as home favorites.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last five night games at PPG Paints Arena when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last eight games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last five games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Nine of the last 12 games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Penguins’ last six games following a loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Flyers’ last five games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Mantha has scored the first goal in three of the Penguins’ last four games as favorites.
• Anthony Mantha has scored at least one goal in four of the Penguins’ last five games as favorites.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Flyers.
• Bryan Rust has scored two goals against the Flyers this season—the most against any opponent.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has scored at least one goal in each of the Flyers’ last six Saturday games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Travis Sanheim has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Trevor Zegras ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.53%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.82).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.91%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.80).

Penguins vs Flyers Prediction

I’m not thrilled to back the Flyers on the road, but we’re getting plus money to fade a banged-up and struggling Penguins side. The Penguins have lost 3 of their last 4 games and their offense has scored 2 or fewer goals in 3 of those games. It feels like the Crosby injury is starting to play a part. The Flyers have to view this as a chance to get a big win against a rival. I’ll take a shot at the more favorable price.