Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction 3/1/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 1st at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 30-15-13 this year after they lost to the Rangers in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 2-0 in the second period, but they couldn’t hold the lead and eventually lost in the shootout. The Penguins out shot New York by a total of 33-25, won 23.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Mantha and Shea, while Skinner stopped 23 out of 25 shots, which was a .920 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Devils by a score of 4-1 and the Sabres by a score of 5-2. The Penguins have lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 73 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.42 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 26.0% on the power play and 84.5% on the penalty kill this season. Evgeni Malkin has led Pittsburgh with 13 goals and 33 assists, while Anthony Mantha has added 21 goals and 23 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Arturs Silovs, who is 12-7-8 with a 2.86 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this year. 

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are 28-17-14 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Vegas cut the deficit from 3-0 to 3-2 in the third period, but couldn’t find the tying goal in the loss. The Golden Knights were out shot by a total of 30-26, won 48.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Bowman and Hertl, while Schmid stopped 27 out of 30 shots, which was a .900 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Vegas defeated the Kings in back to back games by scores of 4-1 and 6-4. The Golden Knights have won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 70 points. Vegas has scored 3.36 goals per game and they have allowed 3.05 goals against per game, while also going 25.9% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 21 goals and 47 assists, while Mark Stone has added 21 goals and 39 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Adin Hill, who is 5-3-3 with a 3.34 goals against average and an .865 save percentage this season. 

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Golden Knights and Penguins.
• The Golden Knights have lost four of their last five games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 day games.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Golden Knights have lost the second period in each of their last seven road games.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have won four of their last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last six day games at PPG Paints Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Golden Knights and Penguins have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 12 games after coming off overtime.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Golden Knights’ last 13 day games.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last six home games.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Mark Stone has scored a goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last three day games.
• Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Golden Knights as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction 

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after losing to the lowly Rangers on Saturday, so they will be on a back to back here. The Penguins are 14-8-7 at home this year, while the Golden Knights are 14-9-7 on the road. Vegas has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least four goals in all three of those wins. The Penguins are dealing with a bunch of injuries right now and I think their scoring is going to really take a step back. Take the Golden Knights to win here.