Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction 3/12/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 12^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Preview

The Golden Knights have 72 points this season with a 29-22-14 record, and are 25-40 ATS and 33-28 in over/under. They have a 14-10-7 home record and a 15-12-7 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 2-1 road loss to the Stars, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home loss to the Oilers, a 4-2 home loss to the Wild, and a 4-3 road overtime win over the Red Wings.

Offensively, the Golden Knights are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring 25.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.09 goals per game and are killing 81.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jack Eichel leads the Golden Knights with 72 points and 49 assists, while Pavel Dorofeyev leads the team in goals with 30. Akira Schmid is the starting goalie for the Golden Knights, and he has a 16-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .893 SV%. Adin Hill is the backup goalie and he has a 6-6-3 record, with 3.32 GAA and .859 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 79 points this season with a 32-17-15 record, and are 39-25 ATS and 33-29 in over/under. They have a 16-9-8 home record and a 16-8-7 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-4 road shootout loss to the Hurricanes, and their previous three games were a 5-4 home overtime win over the Bruins, a 4-3 home shootout loss to the Flyers, and a 5-1 home loss to the Sabres.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.38 goals per game and are scoring 25.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.86 goals per game and are killing 84.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 59 points and 27 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 38. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 19-13-8 record, with 2.77 GAA and .891 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 14-8-8 record, with 2.84 GAA and .898 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends: March 12, 2026

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Penguins and Golden Knights.
• The Penguins have lost each of their last four night games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Penguins and Golden Knights.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games at T-Mobile Arena.
• The Golden Knights have won the third period in each of their last 10 night games at T-Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have won the second period in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Penguins and Golden Knights have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Penguins’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Thursday games at T-Mobile Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last six home games against the Penguins.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Jack Eichel has scored a goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four home games.
• Mark Stone has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Evgeni Malkin has scored a goal in five of the Penguins’ last six road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Tommy Novak has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games against Pacific Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.41%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.53%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.29%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.14%).

Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction

The Penguins won their previous meeting against the Golden Knights this season by 5-0 at home and are 7-3 in their last 10 head-to-head matches.

In this Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction, the Golden Knights are coming as -152 home favorites. The Penguins have been the better team this season and have more road wins than the Knights have at home. Both teams have been in very bad form lately, as they are 1-6 and 1-4 in their last 7 and 5 games respectively, so I don’t trust either side in this matchup. The total is currently set at 5.5 goals and both teams are 7-1 to the over in their last 8 games combined, as they average 6.6 goals per game combined this season. Take the over 6.5 goals in this one.