Penguins vs Jets Prediction 10/5/26 NHL Picks Today
Winnipeg Jets (1-0-1) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (2-0-0)
October 5, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins -170 / Winnipeg Jets 142; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Jets prediction for this NHL game on Monday, October 5th at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins are 2-0-0 this season after they defeated the Canadiens by a score of 6-5 in overtime on Saturday. Pittsburgh led 5-1 in the second period, but they blew the lead in the last minute of the third, before rallying for the overtime win. The Penguins out shot Montreal by a total of 30-25, won 44.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh was led by Tommy Novak, who had two goals and one assist, while Arturs Silovs stopped 20 out of 25 shots, which was an .800 save percentage in the win.
Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Flyers by a score of 7-0 in their first game. The Penguins have scored 6.50 goals per game and they have allowed 2.50 goals against per game, while also going 50.0% on the power play and 100.0% on the penalty kill this season. Evgeni Malkin has led the team with two goals and two assists, while Arturs Silovs is 2-0-0 with a 2.47 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this season.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets are 1-0-1 this year after they defeated the Red Wings by a score of 3-2 on Sunday afternoon. Winnipeg led 3-0 in the second period, but they allowed the last two goals and nearly blew the lead. The Jets were out shot by a total of 35-27, won 38.9% of the face-offs, and went 3-4 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg was led by Kyle Connor, who had two goals and one assist, while Stuart Skinner stopped 33 out of 35 shots, which was a .943 save percentage in the win.
Prior to that game, Winnipeg lost to the Bruins by a score of 4-3 in their first game. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods, but they allowed a goal late in the third and another in OT for the loss. Winnipeg out shot Boston by a total of 33-30, won 48.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. The Jets were led by Kyle Connor, who had one goal and one assist, while Stuart Skinner stopped 26 out of 30 shots, which was an .867 save percentage in the loss.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won each of their last nine games as a favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Jets have lost seven of their last eight night games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in five of their last six home games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Jets have lost the third period in each of their last eight road games when leading after the second period.
Why the Winnipeg Jets will win
- The Jets have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have lost six of their last seven night games following a home win.
- The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
- The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last six night games at PPG Paints Arena when trailing after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Penguins’ last nine games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Jets’ last six night games at PPG Paints Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last 10 games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 10 games following an overtime win.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Erik Karlsson has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances against Central Division opponents.
- Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in 11 of his last 13 appearances with the Penguins as home favorites.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Mark Scheifele has scored at least one goal in five of the Jets’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Kyle Connor has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
Penguins vs Jets Prediction
Winnipeg was able to bounce back with a win on Sunday in Detroit, but they will be on a back to back here. The Jets are 1-0-0 on the road, while the Penguins are 1-0-0 at home. Pittsburgh has won their first two games and they have scored 13 goals in the process. The Penguins have been great offensively to start the season and they could have another big night against Stevenson, who was just claimed off of waivers. Take the Penguins -1 here.