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Penguins vs Lightning Prediction 1/13/26 NHL Picks Today

Tampa Bay Lightning (28-13-3) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-9)
January 13, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins 114 / Tampa Bay Lightning -135; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Tuesday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Penguins vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Penguins vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Avs and Flyers, and they play the Blues next. The Lightning have won 10 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.57 goals per game and are scoring on 20.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 23 goals, Jake Guentzel has 27 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 114 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.59 goals per game and are killing 83.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 62 goals on 704 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 47 goals on 454 shots.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Flames and Bruins, and they play the Flyers next. The Penguins have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.16 goals per game and are scoring 28.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 24 goals, Erik Karlsson has 29 assists, and Bryan Rust has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 82.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 61 goals on 534 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Penguins’ last five games.
  • The Lightning have lost three of their last five games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last seven games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at PPG Paints Arena.
  • The home team has won the first period in seven of the last eight games between the Lightning and Penguins.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last 10 games.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
  • The Lightning have won the first period in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Lightning’s last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Penguins’ last six home games against the Lightning following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games between teams from different divisions have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five night games at PPG Paints Arena.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 13 of the Lightning’s last 14 games as favorites against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in three of the Penguins’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Penguins’ last eight home games.
  • Evgeni Malkin has scored two goals against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last six road games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
  • Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.31%).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.57).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.59).

Penguins vs Lightning Prediction

Right when it looked like the Penguins were catching fire, they’ve lost two straight games and have scored a combined one goal in those games. The Lightning played last night and will play their third straight road game, but they’re riding a 10-game winning streak. The Lightning have scored 4 or more goals in all 10 games and haven’t lost since December 18. The streak won’t last forever, but there’s no stepping in front of the Lightning until things cool off. The Lightning are an automatic bet in their current form.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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