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Penguins vs Maple Leafs Prediction 3/2/25 NHL Picks Today
Toronto Maple Leafs (37-20-2) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (24-29-9)
March 2, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins 154 / Toronto Maple Leafs -185; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Sunday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Penguins vs Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Penguins vs Maple Leafs Pick.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Bruins and Rangers, and they play the Sharks, Golden Knights, and Avalanche next. The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games, and six of those wins have come on the road.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 23.2 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 34 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 56 shots on goal and Auston Matthews has 173 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.83 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 45 goals on 613 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 80 goals on 884 shots.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Bruins, beat the Flyers, and play the Avs, Golden Knights, and Wild next. The Penguins have lost 10 of their last 15 games since January 15.
The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 23.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 26 goals, Sidney Crosby has 44 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 153 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.58 goals per game and are killing 78.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 69 goals on 596 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 94 goals on 869 shots.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won each of their last seven day games at PPG Paints Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Maple Leafs have lost 10 of their last 20 games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 18 games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The home team has won the second period in four of the last five games between the Maple Leafs and Penguins.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Penguins have lost each of their last seven day games following a loss.
- The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in 16 of their last 17 day games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Penguins’ last seven games.
- The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last seven day games following a loss.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances against the Maple Leafs.
- Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine home appearances against the Maple Leafs.
- Sidney Crosby has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight Sunday day games.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven road games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Penguins vs Maple Leafs Injury Report
The Penguins will be without Michael Bunting. P.O Joseph is questionable for the Penguins.
The Maple Leafs won’t have Connor Dewar, Max Pacioretty, Chris Tanev, and Jani Hakanpaa. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is questionable for the Maple Leafs.
Penguins vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Penguins are coming off a bad home loss to the Bruins that shows they’re just not a serious team. The Penguins have lost 10 of their last 15 games over the last month or so, and now they’re on the end of a back-to-back. The Maple Leafs are as hot as they’ve been all season, and they’ve been great on the road, where they’re 17-9-2 on the year. The Maple Leafs have won six of the last nine games against the Penguins, and they should like their chances here with the rest advantage. I’m losing confidence in the Penguins quickly, and I don’t like their chances with a quick turnaround. Give me the Leafs, and I’ll lay the PL to shave down the juice.