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Penguins vs Oilers Prediction 1/9/25 NHL Picks Today

Edmonton Oilers (25-12-3) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (17-17-8)
January 9, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins +165 / Edmonton Oilers -195; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 9th at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

Pittsburgh Penguins are 17-17-8 this year after they lost to Columbus in a shootout by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 3-1 in the third period, but they fell apart late in the game and lost in a shootout. The Penguins were outshot by a total of 29-23, won 49.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Bunting and Rakell (2), while Jarry stopped 26 out of 29 shots in the game. 


Prior to that loss, the Penguins lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3 and the Panthers by a score of 3-2. Pittsburgh has lost four games in a row and they are currently fourth in the Metro standings with 42 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.02 goals per game and they have allowed 3.62 goals against per game, while also going 26.2% on the power play and 80.3% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 11 goals, 33 assists, and 122 shots on goal, while Rickard Rakell has added 20 goals, 15 assists, and 102 shots on goal. Tristan Jarry is 8-6-4 with a 3.43 goals against average and an .889 save percentage this year. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 25-12-3 this season after they defeated the Bruins by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Edmonton scored once in the first, twice in the second, and once in the third in the shutout win. The Oilers outshot Boston by a total of 39-26, won 57.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Henrique (2), McDavid, and Arvidsson, while Skinner stopped all 26 shots that he faced. 

Prior to that game, the Oilers defeated the Kraken by a score of 4-2 and the Ducks by a score of 3-2. Edmonton has won four games in a row and seven of their last nine, and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 53 points. Edmonton has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 2.73 goals against per game, while also going 23.8% on the power play and 77.4% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl has led Edmonton with 29 goals, 30 assists, and 123 shots on goal, while Connor McDavid has added 16 goals, 39 assists, and 115 shots on goal. Stuart Skinner is 16-8-3 with a 2.69 goals against average and a .902 save percentage this season. 

Why the Oilers will beat the Penguins

  • The Oilers have won each of their last seven games against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have lost each of their last four games.
  • The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last five games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Oilers’ last six night games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the last six games between the Oilers and Penguins at PPG Paints Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Penguins’ last 16 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last seven games.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Bunting has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last six home games.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Penguins’ last nine home games.
  • Michael Bunting has scored at least one goal in five of the Penguins’ last six home games.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 Thursday appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 11 Thursday appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored the last goal in three of the Oilers’ last four games.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in four of the Oilers’ last five games.

Penguins vs Oilers Prediction 

Edmonton rolls into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row and they have allowed two goals or fewer in all four of those wins. The Oilers are 11-5-2 on the road this year, while the Penguins are 11-7-2 at home. Pittsburgh has dropped four games in a row, but the last three have gone to either overtime or a shootout. The Penguins are allowing 3.62 goals per game this season and completely collapsed late in the game against Columbus last time out. I have to fade the Penguins until I see some results, so give me the Oilers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Oilers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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