Penguins vs Senators Prediction 2/2/26 NHL Picks Today
Ottawa Senators (26-21-7) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (28-14-11)
February 2, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins -112 / Ottawa Senators -108; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Monday, February 2nd at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins are 28-14-11 this year after they defeated the Rangers by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 5-1 in the third period, but they allowed four goals in the third and nearly blew the game. The Penguins out shot New York by a total of 34-20, won 39.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Acciari (2), Kindel, Mantha (2), and Rakell, while Skinner stopped 15 out of 20 shots, which was a .750 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 6-2 and the Canucks by a score of 3-2. The Penguins have won six games in a row and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 67 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.40 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 27.0% on the power play and 83.4% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 27 goals and 31 assists, while Evgeni Malkin has added 13 goals and 29 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Stuart Skinner, who is 8-4-0 with a 2.53 goals against average and an .895 save percentage for the Penguins this year.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators are 26-21-7 this season after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Ottawa was tied at one after the second period, but they scored three goals in the third to get the win. The Senators out shot New Jersey by a total of 34-27, won 43.3% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Cozens, Pinto, Stutzle, and Tkachuk, while Ullmark stopped 26 out of 27 shots, which was a .963 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Avalanche by a score of 5-2 and the Golden Knights by a score of 7-1. The Senators have won three games in a row and they are currently seventh in the Atlantic standings with 59 points. Ottawa has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 3.28 goals against per game, while also going 23.2% on the power play and 73.0% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 25 goals and 32 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 19 goals and 27 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is James Reimer, who is 2-2-1 with a 3.05 goals against average and an .874 save percentage this season.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won each of their last six games.
- The Senators have lost each of their last six games at PPG Paints Arena following a win.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at PPG Paints Arena following a win.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games.
- The Penguins have won the first period in eight of their last nine night games following a win.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Penguins.
- The Penguins have lost each of their last two games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a win.
- The Senators have won the second period in each of their last six road games following a home win.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Senators’ last eight games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last five games between the Senators and Penguins have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Sidney Crosby has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last seven games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Senators.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Claude Giroux has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.95%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.01%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.28).
Penguins vs Senators Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup on a six game winning streak and they have scored four goals or more in four of their last five games. The Penguins are 13-7-7 at home this year, while the Senators are 12-11-3 on the road. Ottawa has won three in a row and they have outscored those three opponents by a total of 16-4. The Senators have played very well in those three games, but they need to string more wins together if they want to get back into the playoff discussion. Both teams are red hot right now and both offenses are producing, so I will take the over here.