Penguins vs Stars Prediction 12/7/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, December 7^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 43 points this season with a 19-5-5 record, and are 13-16 ATS and 13-16 in over/under. They have a 9-4-1 home record and a 10-1-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Sharks, and their previous three games were a win against the Devils, a loss against the Rangers, and a win against the Senators.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 31.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.52 goals per game and are killing 81.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 38 points, also leading the team in assists with 25, while Jason Robertson leads the team in goals with 18. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 13-4-2 record, with 2.52 GAA and .908 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 6-1-3 record, with 2.16 GAA and .921 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 33 points this season with a 14-7-5 record, and are 19-7 ATS and 12-11 in over/under. They have a 6-4-2 home record and an 8-3-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road win over the Lightning, and their previous three games were a win against the Flyers, a loss against the Maple Leafs, and a win against the Blue Jackets.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 34.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.73 goals per game and are killing 84.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 29 points, also leading the team in goals with 18, while Evgeni Malkin adds a team-high 21 assists. Tristan Jarry is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 9-2-0 record, with 2.61 GAA and .913 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 4-4-4 record, with 3.00 GAA and .898 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: December 7, 2025

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 12 Sunday home games.
• The Penguins have lost eight of their last 10 road games following a road win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine Sunday home games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have won the second period in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Penguins’ last four games.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have won the second period in each of their last four road games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last seven night games against the Penguins following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Penguins’ last nine night games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last 10 Sunday home games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Stars’ last 11 home games.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 10 Sunday home games.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Points (19) this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against the Stars.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in 10 of the Penguins’ last 11 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Kris Letang has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games as underdogs.
• Sidney Crosby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (28.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (31.91%).
• The Dallas Stars are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (34.38%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.81%).

Penguins vs Stars Prediction

The Stars are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Penguins and the under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Penguins vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -200 home favorites. This Stars have been the better team this season, as they have 5 more overall wins, but both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they are 6-1 and 4-1 in their last 7 and 5 games respectively. Both teams have been lighting up offensively as well lately, with the Stars averaging 4.3 goals per game in their last 7 games and the Pens having scored at least 4 goals in four of their last five games. With the total set at just 6 goals which gives us push protection, I will go over that number.