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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction 11-11-24 NHL Picks

Dallas Stars (8-4) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (5-8-2)
November 11, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins +135 / Dallas Stars -160; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Monday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Pick.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Blackhawks, lost to the Jets, and they play the Bruins and Wild next. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 16.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Matt Duchene leads Dallas with 7 goals, Logan Stankoven has 10 assists and Jason Robertson has 35 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.46 goals per game and are killing 83.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 22 goals on 245 shots faced and Casey DeSmith has given up 8 goals on 112 shots.


Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Hurricanes, beat the Capitals, and they play the Red Wings and Blue Jackets next. The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring on 19.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 6 goals, Evgeni Malkin has 13 assists, and Rickard Rakell has 44 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.69 goals per game and are killing 86.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alex Nedeljkovic has allowed 22 goals on 188 shots faced, and Joel Blomqvist has given up 22 goals on 253 shots.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Penguins have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following a road win.
  • The Stars have lost three of their last four games.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a road win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Penguins have won the first period in four of their last five home games against Central Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Evgeni Malkin has scored a goal in three of his last four home appearances against the Stars.
  • Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Monday home appearances.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last nine home games against Central Division opponents.
  • Sidney Crosby ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Seguin has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in four of the Stars’ last five games against the Penguins.
  • Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Tyler Seguin ranks 1st amongst qualified Western Conference players for shooting percentage (35.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.69).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank T5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (86.67%).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.46).
  • The Dallas Stars rank T2nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (0.54).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction

The Dallas Stars are the better team and should be favored. The Stars have also won 6 of the last 7 games against the Penguins. I get it. However, the Stars are coming off a shaky week where the defense hasn’t been great, and they’re just 2-4 on the road this season. The Pittsburgh Penguins have been hit or miss, but they’re hanging around, and they’ve cashed some nice underdog tickets. The Penguins are also 3-3 at home this year. It could be worse. The value is with the Penguins and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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