Toronto Maple Leafs (41-24-3) vs. NY Rangers (33-30-6)
March 20, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Rangers -125 / Toronto Maple Leafs 105; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 20 at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs (41-24-3, 34-34 ATS) went through a slump of results as they lost five of six games earlier this month. The Maple Leafs did respond with a couple of wins over the Calgary Flames and Colorado Avalanche to conclude their four-game homestay. Toronto will now play five of the next six games on the road. The Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division Standings with 85 points, the same as the first-placed Florida Panthers.
The Maple Leafs score 3.19 goals per game on average (9th), while they concede 2.93 GPG (15th). This season, Mitch Marner leads the team with 83 points (21 G and 62 A). William Nylander has 71 points (38 G and 33 A), while Auston Matthews chips in with 61 points (27 G and 34 A).
Anthony Stolarz (13-8-3) is expected to start for the Maple Leafs at the goal on Thursday against the Rangers. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.39 goals per game this year with a .918 SV% and one shutout.
New York Rangers Betting Preview
The New York Rangers (33-30-6, 30-39 ATS) are not playing well at the moment as they lost six of the previous eight games. The Rangers snapped a four-game losing skid with a pair of wins over the Wild and Blue Jackets but returned to losing ways against the Oilers and Flames. New York is 4th in the Metropolitan Division Standings with 72 points, 26 behind the leaders Capitals.
The Rangers average 2.96 goals per game this year (16th), while they allow 2.99 GPG (19th). Artemi Panarin leads the team with 73 points (30 G and 43 A). Adam Fox contributes 49 points (5 G and 44 A), while Mika Zibanejad has 49 points (15 G and 34 A).
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last 11 home games following a home loss has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four night games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six road games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last nine home games against the Maple Leafs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Rangers rank 1st in the league in short-handed goals this season (14).
- The New York Rangers rank T3rd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (3).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Maple Leafs won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. This season, the series is tied at 1-1; the Rangers won 4-1 in Toronto, while the Maple Leafs were better 3-2 in New York. The Maple Leafs lost the last five games with Stolarz at the goal, and he conceded 11 goals in his last three starts. Shesterkin is not having his best season, so I expect each team to score at least three goals here. The Rangers have their offensive problems, but Toronto’s recent road games have been quite efficient, which is why I am going with Over. Six of Toronto’s last seven road games produced 6+ goals.
